Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Jim Kirkley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9061661    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 A NorthWest Guilford     NC    4A      (12- 6, 88.2)     4-15   
 310 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (18- 4, 91.7)     6-12   
 324 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (14- 5, 89.8)     8-11   
 327 A Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      (12- 4, 90.3)     4- 9   
 328 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    4A      ( 4-13, 76.7)     9- 6   
 331 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-12, 68.1)     9- 3   
 402 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (18- 2, 97.2)     4-18   
 404 H Apex                   NC    4A      (11- 6, 85.9)    10- 5   
 407 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 85.6)     7-11   
 409 H Cedar Ridge            NC    3A/2A   ( 8-10, 78.1)    12- 7   
 421 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (14- 5, 89.8)     3-10   
 423 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 85.6)     6- 9   
 428 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-12, 68.1)    15- 2   
 430 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (18- 2, 97.2)     6-12   
 508 H Greensboro Page        NC    4A      (10- 5, 90.9)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A NorthWest Guilford      4-15     -11    -8          -1.47
   310 H Cardinal Gibbons        6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   324 A East Chapel Hill        8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   327 A Wilmington Laney        4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   328 A Wilmington New Hanover  9- 6       3     2           0.03
   331 A Northern Durham         9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   402 A Chapel Hill             4-18     -14   -17           0.00
   404 H Apex                   10- 5       5    -5    +++   10.14
   407 A Durham Jordan           7-11      -4    -5           1.90
   409 H Cedar Ridge            12- 7       5     2    +      2.36
   421 H East Chapel Hill        3-10      -7    -9    +      2.08
   423 H Durham Jordan           6- 9      -3    -4           1.85
   428 H Northern Durham        15- 2      13    12           0.00
   430 H Chapel Hill             6-12      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   508 H Greensboro Page         4-16     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Northern Durham         9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A East Chapel Hill        8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   404 H Apex                   10- 5       5    -5    +++   10.14
   310 H Cardinal Gibbons        6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   327 A Wilmington Laney        4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   430 H Chapel Hill             6-12      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   409 H Cedar Ridge            12- 7       5     2    +      2.36
   421 H East Chapel Hill        3-10      -7    -9    +      2.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.19 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.97 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/