Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Middies              Coach  =   Dan O'Brien           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5182037    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Woburn                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 71.4)     7- 2   
 331 A Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 7- 9, 83.4)    10- 9  o
 402 H Andover HS             MA 1          (12- 8, 90.2)     1-11   
 404 H Haverhill              MA 1          (12- 5, 85.9)     7-12   
 408 A Salem                  MA 1          (11- 8, 80.1)     5- 3   
 410 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 8-11, 81.1)     7- 8   
 414 H Billerica              MA 1          (16- 4, 95.5)     2-16   
 416 A Lowell                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 77.0)     9- 8  o
 423 H Medford                MA 1          ( 8-10, 74.9)     6- 5   
 429 A Haverhill              MA 1          (12- 5, 85.9)     2- 9   
 430 H Melrose                MA 2          ( 2-15, 69.3)    12- 1   
 502 A Pentucket              MA 2          (12- 7, 82.3)     5- 6   
 507 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 8-11, 81.1)     6-12   
 508 H Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 7- 9, 83.4)     7- 8   
 509 A Wilmington             MA 2          ( 7-11, 75.4)    10-11   
 513 H Lowell                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 77.0)     8-10   
 515 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (11- 8, 87.1)     0-12   
 516 H North Reading          MA 3          ( 7-10, 73.1)    14- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Woburn                  7- 2       5     5          -0.99
   331 A Central Catholic       10- 9  o    1    -5    +++    6.95
   402 H Andover HS              1-11     -10   -11           0.00
   404 H Haverhill               7-12      -5    -7    +      2.09
   408 A Salem                   5- 3       2    -2    ++     4.72
   410 A Tewksbury Memorial      7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.71
   414 H Billerica               2-16     -14   -16           0.00
   416 A Lowell                  9- 8  o    1     0           0.58
   423 H Medford                 6- 5       1     3    -     -2.93
   429 A Haverhill               2- 9      -7    -8           1.53
   430 H Melrose                12- 1      11     9           0.43
   502 A Pentucket               5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.89
   507 H Tewksbury Memorial      6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.73
   508 H Central Catholic        7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.51
   509 A Wilmington             10-11      -1     1    -     -2.96
   513 H Lowell                  8-10      -2     1    -     -3.86
   515 A Chelmsford              0-12     -12    -9          -0.28
   516 H North Reading          14- 8       6     5           0.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Medford                 6- 5       1     3    -     -2.93
   507 H Tewksbury Memorial      6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.73
   509 A Wilmington             10-11      -1     1    -     -2.96
   513 H Lowell                  8-10      -2     1    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Central Catholic       10- 9  o    1    -5    +++    6.95
   408 A Salem                   5- 3       2    -2    ++     4.72
   404 H Haverhill               7-12      -5    -7    +      2.09
   410 A Tewksbury Memorial      7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.71
   502 A Pentucket               5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.89
   508 H Central Catholic        7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.13 Local Power Rank...........    75
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.40 Local SOS Rank.............    70
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   104
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    53
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    94
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/