Region = MI 2                   
   Nickname = I Pilots               Coach  =   Chris Ferrari         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3691559    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Notre Dame Prep        MI 2          (12- 5, 87.3)     5- 2   
 326 A Brother Rice           MI 1          (20- 3, 99.9)     5-20   
 328 H Forest Hills Eastern   MI 1          (12- 4, 93.4)     3- 7   
 331 A Bloomfield Hills       MI 1          ( 9-10, 82.1)     9- 6   
 402 H Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1          (14- 9, 92.4)     7- 6  o
 404 A Utica Eisenhower       MI 1          (13- 7, 83.3)     6- 4   
 418 A Cranbrook              MI 2          (13- 6, 91.0)     3- 6   
 420 H OL St Mary's           MI 2          (18- 5, 92.9)     3- 6   
 423 A Troy Athens            MI 1          (11- 7, 89.6)     5- 9   
 426 A Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1          (10-10, 88.3)     6-10   
 428 A Grosse Pointe North    MI 2          (13- 3, 90.5)     9- 7   
 502 A Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          ( 6-14, 83.9)     6- 5   
 512 A Novi                   MI 1          (13- 7, 88.1)     9- 8  o
 514 A Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1          (16- 6, 92.9)     3-12   
 516 H Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1          ( 9- 9, 78.3)    12- 5   
 521 H University Liggett     MI 2          ( 9- 3, 81.4)     7- 3   
 527 N Grosse Pointe North    MI 2          (13- 3, 90.5)     7- 6   
 530 N OL St Mary's           MI 2          (18- 5, 92.9)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Notre Dame Prep         5- 2       3    -1    ++     4.61
   326 A Brother Rice            5-20     -15   -14           0.00
   328 H Forest Hills Eastern    3- 7      -4    -5           1.28
   331 A Bloomfield Hills        9- 6       3     3          -0.60
   402 H Univ Detroit Jesuit     7- 6  o    1    -4    ++     5.23
   404 A Utica Eisenhower        6- 4       2     2          -0.42
   418 A Cranbrook               3- 6      -3    -5    +      2.28
   420 H OL St Mary's            3- 6      -3    -4           1.73
   423 A Troy Athens             5- 9      -4    -3          -0.11
   426 A Detroit Catholic Cent   6-10      -4    -2          -1.48
   428 A Grosse Pointe North     9- 7       2    -4    +++    6.72
   502 A Birmingham-Seaholm      6- 5       1     1          -0.79
   512 A Novi                    9- 8  o    1    -2    +      3.41
   514 A Ann Arbor Pioneer       3-12      -9    -7          -1.85
   516 H Rochester Stoney Creek 12- 5       7     9    -     -2.80
   521 H University Liggett      7- 3       4     6    -     -2.75
   527 N Grosse Pointe North     7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.52
   530 N OL St Mary's            6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Rochester Stoney Creek 12- 5       7     9    -     -2.80
   521 H University Liggett      7- 3       4     6    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Grosse Pointe North     9- 7       2    -4    +++    6.72
   321 A Notre Dame Prep         5- 2       3    -1    ++     4.61
   402 H Univ Detroit Jesuit     7- 6  o    1    -4    ++     5.23
   527 N Grosse Pointe North     7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.52
   418 A Cranbrook               3- 6      -3    -5    +      2.28
   512 A Novi                    9- 8  o    1    -2    +      3.41
   530 N OL St Mary's            6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.94 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.82 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/