Region = NE    East-1           
   Nickname = A Penguins             Coach  =   William Thayer        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5939484    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Tilton School          NE    North   ( 5- 9, 79.7)    18- 8   
 404 A Phillips Exeter        NE    East-1  (11- 4, 93.8)     4-12   
 406 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 6-10, 84.8)     8- 9 2o
 410 A Winchendon             NE    East-2  ( 4- 9, 76.4)    15-12   
 411 H Kimball Union          NE    East-1  (12- 3, 93.8)    10-15   
 418 A Vermont Academy        NE    North   ( 5-10, 77.5)    12- 5   
 422 A Brewster Academy       NE    North   (14- 1, 99.9)     7-17   
 424 H Thayer Academy         NE    ISL     ( 8- 8, 86.3)    10- 3   
 425 H Tabor Academy          NE    East-1  ( 7- 8, 86.5)     7- 9   
 429 H Proctor Academy        NE    North   (10- 3, 91.1)     8-13   
 501 A Lawrence Academy       NE    ISL     ( 0-17, 70.9)    15- 2   
 502 A Wilbraham & Monson     NE 2  West    ( 4- 9, 82.5)    10- 4   
 506 H Pomfret                NE    East-1  ( 6- 9, 84.2)    19- 9   
 508 H Pingree                NE    EIL     (17- 4, 90.3)    15-10   
 509 A Holderness             NE    East-1  ( 9- 5, 89.6)     4-12   
 513 A Worcester Academy      NE    East-1  ( 4-10, 74.6)    15-12   
 516 H Portsmouth Abbey       NE    EIL     (11- 4, 86.8)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Tilton School          18- 8      10     5    ++     4.07
   404 A Phillips Exeter         4-12      -8    -8           0.15
   406 H Northfield Mt Hermon    8- 9 2o   -1     2          n/a  
   410 A Winchendon             15-12       3     9    ---   -6.22
   411 H Kimball Union          10-15      -5    -6           1.33
   418 A Vermont Academy        12- 5       7     8          -1.14
   422 A Brewster Academy        7-17     -10   -14           0.00
   424 H Thayer Academy         10- 3       7     1    ++     5.78
   425 H Tabor Academy           7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.98
   429 H Proctor Academy         8-13      -5    -3          -1.36
   501 A Lawrence Academy       15- 2      13    14           0.00
   502 A Wilbraham & Monson     10- 4       6     3          n/a  
   506 H Pomfret                19- 9      10     3    +++    6.72
   508 H Pingree                15-10       5    -2    +++    7.75
   509 A Holderness              4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.05
   513 A Worcester Academy      15-12       3    11    ---   -7.00
   516 H Portsmouth Abbey        6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Winchendon             15-12       3     9    ---   -6.22
   513 A Worcester Academy      15-12       3    11    ---   -7.00
   509 A Holderness              4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.05
   406 H Northfield Mt Hermon    8- 9 2o   -1     2    -          
   425 H Tabor Academy           7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.98
   516 H Portsmouth Abbey        6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Pomfret                19- 9      10     3    +++    6.72
   508 H Pingree                15-10       5    -2    +++    7.75
   401 A Tilton School          18- 8      10     5    ++     4.07
   424 H Thayer Academy         10- 3       7     1    ++     5.78
   502 A Wilbraham & Monson     10- 4       6     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.56 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.99 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/