Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Garnet Raiders       Coach  =   Michael Joyce         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3663483    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   (10- 8, 84.7)     9- 7   
 406 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   (11- 8, 85.1)     7- 4   
 409 A Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-14, 80.2)     9-12   
 413 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 78.9)    12- 5   
 415 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (15- 6, 80.3)     8- 4   
 417 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (12- 7, 87.8)     4- 5   
 421 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-14, 81.9)     7- 6   
 422 A Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   ( 6-14, 77.0)    15- 8   
 428 A Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (24- 1, 99.9)     3-14   
 430 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   (11- 8, 85.1)     4- 7   
 502 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 78.9)     9- 6   
 505 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (20- 3, 95.3)     4- 7   
 507 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (11- 9, 86.8)     6- 4   
 509 A Christian Bros-Albany  NY A  Sec 2   (14- 6, 89.1)     2-10   
 515 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-14, 81.9)     7- 4   
 516 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   (12- 7, 86.4)     6- 4   
 519 H Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   ( 6-14, 77.0)    15- 7   
 527 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (11- 9, 86.8)     3- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A LaSalle Institute       9- 7       2     0           1.09
   406 A Columbia                7- 4       3     0    +      2.51
   409 A Saratoga Spgs           9-12      -3     5    ---   -8.46
   413 H Ballston Spa           12- 5       7     8          -1.01
   415 H Queensbury              8- 4       4     6    -     -2.58
   417 H Shaker                  4- 5      -1     0          -0.09
   421 A Bethlehem               7- 6       1     3    -     -2.73
   422 A Burnt Hills            15- 8       7     8          -1.58
   428 A Niskayuna               3-14     -11   -14           0.00
   430 H Columbia                4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.79
   502 A Ballston Spa            9- 6       3     6    -     -3.72
   505 H Guilderland             4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.43
   507 A Shenendehowa            6- 4       2    -1    +      3.19
   509 A Christian Bros-Albany   2-10      -8    -3    --    -4.50
   515 H Bethlehem               7- 4       3     5    -     -2.03
   516 A Schenectady             6- 4       2     0    +      2.74
   519 H Burnt Hills            15- 7       8     9          -1.88
   527 A Shenendehowa            3- 4      -1    -1           0.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Saratoga Spgs           9-12      -3     5    ---   -8.46
   430 H Columbia                4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.79
   509 A Christian Bros-Albany   2-10      -8    -3    --    -4.50
   415 H Queensbury              8- 4       4     6    -     -2.58
   421 A Bethlehem               7- 6       1     3    -     -2.73
   502 A Ballston Spa            9- 6       3     6    -     -3.72
   515 H Bethlehem               7- 4       3     5    -     -2.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Guilderland             4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.43
   406 A Columbia                7- 4       3     0    +      2.51
   507 A Shenendehowa            6- 4       2    -1    +      3.19
   516 A Schenectady             6- 4       2     0    +      2.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.27 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.49 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/