Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-E           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Messersmith      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.4233704    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 H Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-E  ( 0-11, 68.6)    20- 0   
 307 A Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  ( 6- 9, 82.9)    13- 5   
 314 N Napa                   CA    NCLA-N  ( 7-10, 83.8)    14- 4   
 314 N Palo Alto (THLC)       CA    NCLA-S  (12- 5, 95.2)     5-10   
 315 N Morgan Hill            CA    NCLA-S  ( 5- 8, 80.9)    22- 3   
 315 N Stockton               CA    NCLA-S  ( 0-12, 69.9)    19- 1   
 321 A Redding                CA    NCLA-E  ( 4- 7, 81.5)     9- 2   
 325 H Gold Country           CA    NCLA-E  (10- 9, 87.9)     9- 2   
 330 H Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  ( 6- 9, 82.9)     9- 1   
 401 H Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  (10- 4, 91.1)    10-14   
 418 H Chico                  CA    NCLA-E  ( 8- 3, 93.1)    12- 2   
 421 A Gold Country           CA    NCLA-E  (10- 9, 87.9)    11- 7   
 426 H Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-N  (18- 4, 99.9)     7-10   
 501 N Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  (10- 4, 91.1)    16- 5   
 509 H San Francisco City     CA    NCLA-S  ( 5- 8, 82.8)    16- 5   
 516 N Petaluma               CA    NCLA-N  (18- 3, 98.4)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Sierra Foothills       20- 0      20    27           0.00
   307 A Pleasant Grove         13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   314 N Napa                   14- 4      10    11           0.00
   314 N Palo Alto (THLC)        5-10      -5     0    --    -5.33
   315 N Morgan Hill            22- 3      19    14           0.00
   315 N Stockton               19- 1      18    25           0.00
   321 A Redding                 9- 2       7    13    -     -3.00
   325 H Gold Country            9- 2       7     8          -1.15
   330 H Pleasant Grove          9- 1       8    13    -     -2.00
   401 H Orangevale             10-14      -4     4    ---   -8.88
   418 H Chico                  12- 2      10     2    +++    7.03
   421 A Gold Country           11- 7       4     7    -     -3.19
   426 H Casa Grande             7-10      -3    -3           0.88
   501 N Orangevale             16- 5      11     4    ++     5.59
   509 H San Francisco City     16- 5      11    13           0.00
   516 N Petaluma                4-15     -11    -2    ---   -7.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Orangevale             10-14      -4     4    ---   -8.88
   516 N Petaluma                4-15     -11    -2    ---   -7.16
   314 N Palo Alto (THLC)        5-10      -5     0    --    -5.33
   307 A Pleasant Grove         13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   321 A Redding                 9- 2       7    13    -     -3.00
   330 H Pleasant Grove          9- 1       8    13    -     -2.00
   421 A Gold Country           11- 7       4     7    -     -3.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Chico                  12- 2      10     2    +++    7.03
   501 N Orangevale             16- 5      11     4    ++     5.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.55 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.11 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/