Region = NC    3A/2A            
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Pete Procopio         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1037445    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 A Triton                 NC    3A/2A   ( 8- 9, 74.5)    13- 8   
 307 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    4A      ( 7- 9, 81.8)    15- 7   
 310 H Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 3-10, 81.6)     5- 1   
 318 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (14- 5, 89.8)     6-11   
 320 H Cedar Ridge            NC    3A/2A   ( 8-10, 78.1)    11- 8   
 323 A Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 4-13, 75.2)    12- 9   
 327 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (18- 4, 91.7)     8-14   
 403 H Triton                 NC    3A/2A   ( 8- 9, 74.5)     6- 2   
 413 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    3A/2A   ( 2-11, 66.3)    13- 1   
 414 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (18- 2, 97.2)     4-15   
 421 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (18- 4, 91.7)     4-12   
 427 A Durham School-Arts     NC    Indep   ( 2- 4, 69.6)    12- 2   
 429 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    3A/2A   ( 2-11, 66.3)    13- 1   
 501 A Cedar Ridge            NC    3A/2A   ( 8-10, 78.1)     4- 7   
 508 H Western Guilford       NC    3A/2A   (12- 6, 85.8)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Triton                 13- 8       5     7    -     -2.38
   307 H Wilmington Ashley      15- 7       8     1    +++    6.81
   310 H Ravenscroft School      5- 1       4     1          n/a  
   318 H East Chapel Hill        6-11      -5    -6           1.84
   320 H Cedar Ridge            11- 8       3     4          -1.88
   323 A Panther Creek          12- 9       3     6    -     -3.73
   327 H Cardinal Gibbons        8-14      -6    -8    +      2.79
   403 H Triton                  6- 2       4     8    --    -4.43
   413 H Hillsborough Orange    13- 1      12    16           0.00
   414 A Chapel Hill             4-15     -11   -15           0.00
   421 A Cardinal Gibbons        4-12      -8    -9           1.84
   427 A Durham School-Arts     12- 2      10    12           0.00
   429 A Hillsborough Orange    13- 1      12    15           0.00
   501 A Cedar Ridge             4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.83
   508 H Western Guilford        6- 9      -3    -2          -0.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Cedar Ridge             4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.83
   403 H Triton                  6- 2       4     8    --    -4.43
   306 A Triton                 13- 8       5     7    -     -2.38
   323 A Panther Creek          12- 9       3     6    -     -3.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Wilmington Ashley      15- 7       8     1    +++    6.81
   310 H Ravenscroft School      5- 1       4     1    +          
   327 H Cardinal Gibbons        8-14      -6    -8    +      2.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.43 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.94 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
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