Region = VA    NoWest           
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   Carl Kielbasa         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1131897    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A Loudoun County         VA    Dulles  ( 4- 8, 84.8)     8-15   
 320 H Heritage-Leesburg      VA    Dulles  ( 7- 6, 90.7)    11-10  o
 323 H Kettle Run             VA    NoWest  ( 3- 8, 76.9)    14- 9   
 325 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    Dulles  ( 7- 8, 88.0)     7-14   
 328 H Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 8- 5, 91.5)     6- 9   
 330 A Stonewall Jackson      VA    Cedar   ( 9- 5, 92.4)     4-16   
 331 H Fauquier               VA    Cedar   ( 7- 7, 85.4)     9-10   
 417 H James River            VA    Jeffsn  ( 3- 7, 84.2)     6- 5  o
 424 H Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 2-11, 79.4)    13- 4   
 425 N Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (12- 6, 96.5)     5-12   
 502 H Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4- 8, 85.6)     9- 5   
 506 A Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  ( 8- 9, 90.0)     5-12   
 512 N Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (12- 6, 96.5)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Loudoun County          8-15      -7    -1    --    -5.79
   320 H Heritage-Leesburg      11-10  o    1    -5    +++    6.04
   323 H Kettle Run             14- 9       5     8    -     -3.79
   325 A Freedom-South Riding    7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.63
   328 H Rockbridge County       6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.85
   330 A Stonewall Jackson       4-16     -12    -8          n/a  
   331 H Fauquier                9-10      -1     0          n/a  
   417 H James River             6- 5  o    1     1          -0.49
   424 H Charlottesville        13- 4       9     6    +      2.71
   425 N Salem                   5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   502 H Monticello              9- 5       4     0    +      3.92
   506 A Western Albemarle       5-12      -7    -6          -0.57
   512 N Salem                   3-14     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Loudoun County          8-15      -7    -1    --    -5.79
   323 H Kettle Run             14- 9       5     8    -     -3.79
   325 A Freedom-South Riding    7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Heritage-Leesburg      11-10  o    1    -5    +++    6.04
   328 H Rockbridge County       6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.85
   424 H Charlottesville        13- 4       9     6    +      2.71
   425 N Salem                   5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   502 H Monticello              9- 5       4     0    +      3.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.64 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.88 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/