Conf =  Bay State                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Steve Zella           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.2472916    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Weymouth               MA 1          ( 7-13, 80.4)     8-10   
 402 A Milton                 MA 2          ( 1-16, 70.3)    14- 7   
 408 H Norwood                MA 2          (17- 5, 89.3)     4- 9   
 409 H Needham                MA 1          (16- 6, 93.1)     5-12   
 411 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (11- 9, 86.1)     5- 4   
 413 H Braintree              MA 1          (14- 8, 85.4)     4- 5   
 415 A Walpole                MA 2          (24- 1, 99.2)     2-13   
 417 A Newton North           MA 1          ( 9-11, 81.7)     2- 6   
 421 H Newton South           MA 1          ( 6-12, 81.9)     5- 9   
 423 A Westwood               MA 3          (13- 9, 81.6)     5- 9   
 427 A Framingham             MA 1          ( 4-14, 77.4)     6- 7   
 429 H Weymouth               MA 1          ( 7-13, 80.4)     6- 5   
 501 H Wellesley              MA 2          (11-11, 84.4)     4- 8   
 504 A Needham                MA 1          (16- 6, 93.1)     2-11   
 506 A Natick                 MA 2          (10-10, 81.1)     5- 2   
 508 A Braintree              MA 1          (14- 8, 85.4)     4-13   
 511 H Dedham                 MA 3          ( 0-17, 63.0)    21- 1   
 513 H Newton North           MA 1          ( 9-11, 81.7)     8- 4   
 515 H Framingham             MA 1          ( 4-14, 77.4)    10- 2   
 519 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (15- 6, 94.9)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Weymouth                8-10      -2     0          -1.33
   402 A Milton                 14- 7       7     9    -     -2.35
   408 H Norwood                 4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.17
   409 H Needham                 5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   411 H Acton Boxborough        5- 4       1    -4    ++     5.98
   413 H Braintree               4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.32
   415 A Walpole                 2-13     -11   -19           0.00
   417 A Newton North            2- 6      -4    -2          -1.96
   421 H Newton South            5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.19
   423 A Westwood                5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.12
   427 A Framingham              6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.30
   429 H Weymouth                6- 5       1     0           0.23
   501 H Wellesley               4- 8      -4    -3          -0.76
   504 A Needham                 2-11      -9   -13           1.00
   506 A Natick                  5- 2       3    -1    ++     4.39
   508 A Braintree               4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.24
   511 H Dedham                 21- 1      20    18           0.00
   513 H Newton North            8- 4       4     0    ++     4.60
   515 H Framingham             10- 2       8     3    ++     4.26
   519 H Boston College HS       3-12      -9   -13           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Milton                 14- 7       7     9    -     -2.35
   421 H Newton South            5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.19
   423 A Westwood                5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.12
   427 A Framingham              6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.30
   508 A Braintree               4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Acton Boxborough        5- 4       1    -4    ++     5.98
   506 A Natick                  5- 2       3    -1    ++     4.39
   513 H Newton North            8- 4       4     0    ++     4.60
   515 H Framingham             10- 2       8     3    ++     4.26
   408 H Norwood                 4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.17
   409 H Needham                 5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   413 H Braintree               4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.41 Local Power Rank...........    62
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.62 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    92
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    99
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
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