Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Hornets              Coach  =   Brian Adkins          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.3650360    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Hall-West Hartford     CT M          ( 8- 9, 81.5)     6- 4   
 411 H Conard-West Hartford   CT M          (11- 8, 85.1)     7-10   
 414 H Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 89.6)     2- 6   
 416 A Shelton                CT L          ( 4-12, 73.5)    11- 4   
 420 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          (13- 5, 81.6)    18-12   
 423 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          ( 9- 9, 85.1)    11-12  o
 425 H New Fairfield          CT M          (20- 2, 94.8)     3-16   
 428 A Old Lyme               CT S          ( 5-10, 73.8)    17-10   
 501 H Amity Regional         CT L          (14- 6, 91.1)     8-15   
 505 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 6, 96.3)     4-14   
 509 A East Lyme              CT M          (18- 3, 91.7)     5-14   
 513 H Cheshire HS            CT L          (14- 6, 93.1)     2-15   
 516 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 5-11, 74.0)    15- 3   
 518 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 6-10, 79.5)     6- 5   
 519 A Xavier                 CT L          (14- 5, 90.1)     1-13   
 521 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 6-10, 71.7)    16- 6   
 527 A Amity Regional         CT L          (14- 6, 91.1)     3-15   
 606 A Darien                 CT M          (18- 5, 98.9)     5-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Hall-West Hartford      6- 4       2    -1    +      3.86
   411 H Conard-West Hartford    7-10      -3    -3           0.43
   414 H Guilford                2- 6      -4    -7    +      3.97
   416 A Shelton                11- 4       7     6           0.88
   420 H Morgan-Clinton         18-12       6     0    ++     5.93
   423 H Daniel Hand-Madison    11-12  o   -1    -3    +      2.47
   425 H New Fairfield           3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   428 A Old Lyme               17-10       7     5           1.17
   501 H Amity Regional          8-15      -7    -9    +      2.43
   505 A Fairfield Prep          4-14     -10   -16           0.00
   509 A East Lyme               5-14      -9   -12           1.00
   513 H Cheshire HS             2-15     -13   -11           0.00
   516 A Hamden                 15- 3      12     5    ++     4.32
   518 H Northwest Catholic      6- 5       1     2          -1.10
   519 A Xavier                  1-13     -12   -10           0.00
   521 H Fitch-Groton           16- 6      10     9           0.05
   527 A Amity Regional          3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   606 A Darien                  5-18     -13   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Morgan-Clinton         18-12       6     0    ++     5.93
   516 A Hamden                 15- 3      12     5    ++     4.32
   408 A Hall-West Hartford      6- 4       2    -1    +      3.86
   414 H Guilford                2- 6      -4    -7    +      3.97
   423 H Daniel Hand-Madison    11-12  o   -1    -3    +      2.47
   501 H Amity Regional          8-15      -7    -9    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.64 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.17 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/