Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Scott Faulkner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.0268784    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     9-17   
 401 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (13- 7, 90.7)     9- 5   
 404 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 7-12, 85.4)     8- 6   
 407 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 3, 97.1)     4-11   
 415 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 0-19, 73.5)    10- 3   
 418 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 89.2)    13-12   
 420 H Chenango Forks         NY B  Sec 4   (15- 6, 93.6)     7- 6   
 423 H Corning West           NY A  Sec 4   (11- 8, 89.6)     5- 9   
 425 N Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (11- 9, 86.8)     7- 9   
 426 N Clinton Central        NY C  Sec 3   (10- 9, 78.8)     8- 9   
 428 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 4-14, 81.8)    10- 8   
 501 H Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     2-18   
 505 H Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 7-12, 85.4)     7- 4   
 508 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 3, 97.1)     5-12   
 513 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 0-19, 73.5)    13- 7   
 515 A Chenango Forks         NY B  Sec 4   (15- 6, 93.6)    11-15   
 519 A Corning West           NY A  Sec 4   (11- 8, 89.6)     9- 4   
 521 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 4-14, 81.8)    14- 8   
 529 H Corning West           NY A  Sec 4   (11- 8, 89.6)    12- 6   
 602 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 3, 97.1)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Corning East            9-17      -8   -12    +      2.00
   401 H Liverpool               9- 5       4    -1          n/a  
   404 A Vestal                  8- 6       2     2          -0.02
   407 A Ithaca                  4-11      -7    -9    +      2.64
   415 A Union-Endicott         10- 3       7    13    -     -3.00
   418 A Penfield               13-12       1    -1          n/a  
   420 H Chenango Forks          7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.75
   423 H Corning West            5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.32
   425 N Shenendehowa            7- 9      -2     1          n/a  
   426 N Clinton Central         8- 9      -1     9          n/a  
   428 H Horseheads             10- 8       2     7    --    -5.13
   501 H Corning East            2-18     -16   -10           0.00
   505 H Vestal                  7- 4       3     3          -0.48
   508 H Ithaca                  5-12      -7    -8           1.19
   513 H Union-Endicott         13- 7       6    15    --    -4.00
   515 A Chenango Forks         11-15      -4    -6    +      2.20
   519 A Corning West            9- 4       5    -2    +++    7.13
   521 A Horseheads             14- 8       6     5           0.33
   529 H Corning West           12- 6       6     0    +++    6.68
   602 A Ithaca                  3-11      -8    -9           1.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 N Clinton Central         8- 9      -1     9    ---        
   428 H Horseheads             10- 8       2     7    --    -5.13
   513 H Union-Endicott         13- 7       6    15    --    -4.00
   415 A Union-Endicott         10- 3       7    13    -     -3.00
   423 H Corning West            5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.32
   425 N Shenendehowa            7- 9      -2     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Corning West            9- 4       5    -2    +++    7.13
   529 H Corning West           12- 6       6     0    +++    6.68
   401 H Liverpool               9- 5       4    -1    ++         
   420 H Chenango Forks          7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.75
   326 A Corning East            9-17      -8   -12    +      2.00
   407 A Ithaca                  4-11      -7    -9    +      2.64
   418 A Penfield               13-12       1    -1    +          
   515 A Chenango Forks         11-15      -4    -6    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.18 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.15 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/