Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Brian Yerger          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2997437    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 H Garner                 NC    4A      ( 2-11, 69.1)    17- 0   
 307 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-12, 68.1)     9- 2   
 310 H Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 5, 82.5)     5- 4   
 312 A Millbrook              NC    Indep   ( 4-11, 72.4)     7- 1   
 317 A Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 6-12, 77.0)     4- 8   
 320 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    4A      ( 4-13, 76.7)     5- 7   
 321 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    4A      ( 7- 9, 81.8)     2- 6   
 323 H Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 3-10, 81.6)     5- 2   
 325 H Cedar Ridge            NC    3A/2A   ( 8-10, 78.1)     5- 7   
 331 H Apex                   NC    4A      (11- 6, 85.9)     1- 7   
 413 A Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 4-13, 75.2)     3- 2   
 414 A Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 5, 82.5)     7-11   
 415 H Millbrook              NC    Indep   ( 4-11, 72.4)     5- 3   
 421 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 6-12, 77.0)     5- 3   
 422 A Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 77.6)     4- 5   
 424 H Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 4-13, 75.2)     4- 6   
 428 A Apex                   NC    4A      (11- 6, 85.9)     2- 4   
 430 H Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 77.6)     0- 5   
 501 A SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      ( 0-15, 61.4)    11- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Garner                 17- 0      17     9           0.17
   307 A Northern Durham         9- 2       7     9    -     -2.78
   310 H Green Hope              5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.56
   312 A Millbrook               7- 1       6     5           0.56
   317 A Cary-Middle Creek       4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.89
   320 A Wilmington New Hanover  5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.15
   321 A Wilmington Ashley       2- 6      -4    -3          -0.09
   323 H Ravenscroft School      5- 2       3    -2          n/a  
   325 H Cedar Ridge             5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.82
   331 H Apex                    1- 7      -6    -6           0.96
   413 A Panther Creek           3- 2       1     2          -1.68
   414 A Green Hope              7-11      -4    -4           0.61
   415 H Millbrook               5- 3       2     6    --    -4.49
   421 H Cary-Middle Creek       5- 3       2     1           0.06
   422 A Cary HS                 4- 5      -1     0          -1.21
   424 H Panther Creek           4- 6      -2     3    --    -5.73
   428 A Apex                    2- 4      -2    -8    +++    6.01
   430 H Cary HS                 0- 5      -5     1    ---   -6.26
   501 A SouthEast Raleigh      11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Cary HS                 0- 5      -5     1    ---   -6.26
   317 A Cary-Middle Creek       4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.89
   415 H Millbrook               5- 3       2     6    --    -4.49
   424 H Panther Creek           4- 6      -2     3    --    -5.73
   307 A Northern Durham         9- 2       7     9    -     -2.78
   320 A Wilmington New Hanover  5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.15
   325 H Cedar Ridge             5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.82
   501 A SouthEast Raleigh      11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Apex                    2- 4      -2    -8    +++    6.01
   310 H Green Hope              5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.56
   323 H Ravenscroft School      5- 2       3    -2    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.37 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.15 Local SOS Rank.............    49
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    49
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/