Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.1062317    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Haverhill              MA 1          (12- 5, 85.9)    11- 3   
 402 A Dracut                 MA 2          ( 7-11, 78.1)    11- 1   
 404 H Lowell                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 77.0)     7- 3   
 407 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 8-11, 81.1)    10- 7   
 411 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (11- 8, 87.1)    12- 6   
 417 H Billerica              MA 1          (16- 4, 95.5)     9-10 3o
 420 A North Andover          MA 2          (17- 6, 89.1)     9-11   
 423 A Lexington HS           MA 1          (12-10, 86.1)     9- 8   
 425 H Hingham                MA 2          (16- 7, 91.8)     7-10   
 427 H Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 7- 9, 83.4)     9- 6   
 429 A Exeter HS              NH 1          (14- 5, 95.0)    10-11  o
 502 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (13- 8, 92.7)     9- 6   
 504 H Masconomet             MA 2          (14- 8, 86.8)    12- 4   
 508 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (11- 8, 87.1)    17- 5   
 512 H Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (18- 3, 98.1)    10-13   
 515 A Billerica              MA 1          (16- 4, 95.5)    10-13   
 518 A Waltham                MA 1          ( 4-12, 81.6)    10- 8   
 520 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (16- 3, 97.1)     8-15   
 527 H New Bedford            MA 1          ( 7-10, 73.0)    16- 2   
 530 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (13- 8, 92.7)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Haverhill              11- 3       8     3    ++     4.41
   402 A Dracut                 11- 1      10    11           0.00
   404 H Lowell                  7- 3       4    13    ---   -6.00
   407 H Tewksbury Memorial     10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.85
   411 A Chelmsford             12- 6       6     2    +      3.60
   417 H Billerica               9-10 3o   -1    -4    +      3.53
   420 A North Andover           9-11      -2     0    -     -2.40
   423 A Lexington HS            9- 8       1     3    -     -2.46
   425 H Hingham                 7-10      -3     0    -     -2.21
   427 H Central Catholic        9- 6       3     7    --    -4.61
   429 A Exeter HS              10-11  o   -1    -5          n/a  
   502 A Xaverian Bros           9- 6       3    -3    +++    6.19
   504 H Masconomet             12- 4       8     4    +      3.88
   508 H Chelmsford             17- 5      12     3    +++    6.16
   512 H Bishop Guertin         10-13      -3    -7          n/a  
   515 A Billerica              10-13      -3    -5    +      2.97
   518 A Waltham                10- 8       2     7    --    -5.96
   520 A Lincoln-Sudbury         8-15      -7    -7           0.62
   527 H New Bedford            16- 2      14    17           0.00
   530 A Xaverian Bros           5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Lowell                  7- 3       4    13    ---   -6.00
   407 H Tewksbury Memorial     10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.85
   427 H Central Catholic        9- 6       3     7    --    -4.61
   518 A Waltham                10- 8       2     7    --    -5.96
   420 A North Andover           9-11      -2     0    -     -2.40
   423 A Lexington HS            9- 8       1     3    -     -2.46
   425 H Hingham                 7-10      -3     0    -     -2.21
   530 A Xaverian Bros           5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Xaverian Bros           9- 6       3    -3    +++    6.19
   508 H Chelmsford             17- 5      12     3    +++    6.16
   331 A Haverhill              11- 3       8     3    ++     4.41
   429 A Exeter HS              10-11  o   -1    -5    ++         
   512 H Bishop Guertin         10-13      -3    -7    ++         
   411 A Chelmsford             12- 6       6     2    +      3.60
   417 H Billerica               9-10 3o   -1    -4    +      3.53
   504 H Masconomet             12- 4       8     4    +      3.88
   515 A Billerica              10-13      -3    -5    +      2.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.24 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.96 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/