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Conf = Merrimack Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Golden Warrior Coach = Wayne PuglisiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.1062317 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Haverhill MA 1 (12- 5, 85.9) 11- 3 402 A Dracut MA 2 ( 7-11, 78.1) 11- 1 404 H Lowell MA 1 ( 3-15, 77.0) 7- 3 407 H Tewksbury Memorial MA 2 ( 8-11, 81.1) 10- 7 411 A Chelmsford MA 1 (11- 8, 87.1) 12- 6 417 H Billerica MA 1 (16- 4, 95.5) 9-10 3o 420 A North Andover MA 2 (17- 6, 89.1) 9-11 423 A Lexington HS MA 1 (12-10, 86.1) 9- 8 425 H Hingham MA 2 (16- 7, 91.8) 7-10 427 H Central Catholic MA 2 ( 7- 9, 83.4) 9- 6 429 A Exeter HS NH 1 (14- 5, 95.0) 10-11 o 502 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 (13- 8, 92.7) 9- 6 504 H Masconomet MA 2 (14- 8, 86.8) 12- 4 508 H Chelmsford MA 1 (11- 8, 87.1) 17- 5 512 H Bishop Guertin NH 1 (18- 3, 98.1) 10-13 515 A Billerica MA 1 (16- 4, 95.5) 10-13 518 A Waltham MA 1 ( 4-12, 81.6) 10- 8 520 A Lincoln-Sudbury MA 1 (16- 3, 97.1) 8-15 527 H New Bedford MA 1 ( 7-10, 73.0) 16- 2 530 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 (13- 8, 92.7) 5-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Haverhill 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.41 402 A Dracut 11- 1 10 11 0.00 404 H Lowell 7- 3 4 13 --- -6.00 407 H Tewksbury Memorial 10- 7 3 9 --- -6.85 411 A Chelmsford 12- 6 6 2 + 3.60 417 H Billerica 9-10 3o -1 -4 + 3.53 420 A North Andover 9-11 -2 0 - -2.40 423 A Lexington HS 9- 8 1 3 - -2.46 425 H Hingham 7-10 -3 0 - -2.21 427 H Central Catholic 9- 6 3 7 -- -4.61 429 A Exeter HS 10-11 o -1 -5 n/a 502 A Xaverian Bros 9- 6 3 -3 +++ 6.19 504 H Masconomet 12- 4 8 4 + 3.88 508 H Chelmsford 17- 5 12 3 +++ 6.16 512 H Bishop Guertin 10-13 -3 -7 n/a 515 A Billerica 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.97 518 A Waltham 10- 8 2 7 -- -5.96 520 A Lincoln-Sudbury 8-15 -7 -7 0.62 527 H New Bedford 16- 2 14 17 0.00 530 A Xaverian Bros 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Lowell 7- 3 4 13 --- -6.00 407 H Tewksbury Memorial 10- 7 3 9 --- -6.85 427 H Central Catholic 9- 6 3 7 -- -4.61 518 A Waltham 10- 8 2 7 -- -5.96 420 A North Andover 9-11 -2 0 - -2.40 423 A Lexington HS 9- 8 1 3 - -2.46 425 H Hingham 7-10 -3 0 - -2.21 530 A Xaverian Bros 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.81OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Xaverian Bros 9- 6 3 -3 +++ 6.19 508 H Chelmsford 17- 5 12 3 +++ 6.16 331 A Haverhill 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.41 429 A Exeter HS 10-11 o -1 -5 ++ 512 H Bishop Guertin 10-13 -3 -7 ++ 411 A Chelmsford 12- 6 6 2 + 3.60 417 H Billerica 9-10 3o -1 -4 + 3.53 504 H Masconomet 12- 4 8 4 + 3.88 515 A Billerica 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.97/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.24 Local Power Rank........... 17 Local SOS Rating......... 72.96 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 21 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 12 Local Quality Win Rating. 0.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 25 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3