Region = VA    Comw             
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Pat McAdams           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.7955322    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H Brooke Point           VA    Comw    (14- 7, 96.2)    10- 5   
 318 A Stafford               VA    Comw    ( 3-11, 80.8)    14- 3   
 320 H St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     ( 8- 9, 90.0)     5- 7   
 325 A North Stafford         VA    Comw    ( 9- 6, 94.3)     2- 8   
 330 A Mountain View          VA    Comw    ( 5-10, 86.1)     9- 8   
 401 H Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    (10- 5, 93.6)     9- 6   
 404 A Langley                VA    Liberty (21- 1, 99.9)     3-10   
 416 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (18- 4, 91.7)     6- 5   
 417 A Brooke Point           VA    Comw    (14- 7, 96.2)    10- 8   
 423 H Stafford               VA    Comw    ( 3-11, 80.8)    18- 4   
 424 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4- 8, 85.6)    10- 3   
 427 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  ( 8- 9, 90.0)     6- 2   
 429 H North Stafford         VA    Comw    ( 9- 6, 94.3)     8- 4   
 508 N Mountain View          VA    Comw    ( 5-10, 86.1)    11- 5   
 513 H Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    (10- 5, 93.6)     6- 5   
 514 H Brooke Point           VA    Comw    (14- 7, 96.2)     6- 5   
 520 H Potomac-Dumfries       VA    Card    ( 7- 9, 76.5)    17- 2   
 522 H Osbourn Park           VA    Cedar   ( 9- 9, 90.3)     7- 6   
 526 H Loudoun Valley         VA    Cedar   (17- 4, 99.9)     8- 3   
 530 H Chantilly              VA    Concord (16- 3, 94.9)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Brooke Point           10- 5       5     1    +      3.66
   318 A Stafford               14- 3      11    14           0.00
   320 H St Christopher's        5- 7      -2     7          n/a  
   325 A North Stafford          2- 8      -6     1    ---   -7.35
   330 A Mountain View           9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.61
   401 H Colonial Forge          9- 6       3     3          -0.88
   404 A Langley                 3-10      -7    -4          n/a  
   416 H Cardinal Gibbons        6- 5       1     5          n/a  
   417 A Brooke Point           10- 8       2     0    +      2.48
   423 H Stafford               18- 4      14    16           0.00
   424 A Monticello             10- 3       7    10          n/a  
   427 H Western Albemarle       6- 2       4     7          n/a  
   429 H North Stafford          8- 4       4     3           0.82
   508 N Mountain View          11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   513 H Colonial Forge          6- 5       1     3    -     -2.88
   514 H Brooke Point            6- 5       1     1          -0.34
   520 H Potomac-Dumfries       17- 2      15    21           0.00
   522 H Osbourn Park            7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.23
   526 H Loudoun Valley          8- 3       5    -2    +++    7.38
   530 H Chantilly               9-10  o   -1     2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H St Christopher's        5- 7      -2     7    ---        
   325 A North Stafford          2- 8      -6     1    ---   -7.35
   330 A Mountain View           9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.61
   522 H Osbourn Park            7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.23
   416 H Cardinal Gibbons        6- 5       1     5    --         
   508 N Mountain View          11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   404 A Langley                 3-10      -7    -4    -          
   424 A Monticello             10- 3       7    10    -          
   427 H Western Albemarle       6- 2       4     7    -          
   513 H Colonial Forge          6- 5       1     3    -     -2.88
   530 H Chantilly               9-10  o   -1     2    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   526 H Loudoun Valley          8- 3       5    -2    +++    7.38
   311 H Brooke Point           10- 5       5     1    +      3.66
   417 A Brooke Point           10- 8       2     0    +      2.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.60 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.38 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   14.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.260.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/