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Region = PA LL04 Nickname = A Warriors Coach = Edgar LobleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.5571136 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Northern York Black PA Mid 1 ( 8- 6, 86.1) 10- 2 325 A Conestoga Valley PA LL04 ( 4-15, 78.7) 12- 5 327 A Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 7- 9, 81.5) 14- 4 328 A North Allegheny PA 1DNORTH (15- 3, 99.9) 7-10 329 A Seneca Valley PA 1DNORTH (14- 6, 97.8) 9- 7 403 A Elizabethtown PA LL04 ( 3-11, 77.3) 12- 4 405 A Penn Charter PA IAC (16-12, 90.6) 3-16 408 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (14- 7, 90.1) 8- 6 410 H Ephrata PA LL04 ( 8-12, 81.5) 9- 5 411 H Downingtown West PA Suburb ( 9-12, 85.3) 4- 3 415 H Penn Manor PA LL04 (12- 9, 87.6) 8- 3 417 H Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (14- 5, 93.8) 9- 5 418 A Hill School PA Indep (11- 5, 90.4) 4-17 422 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL04 (18- 7, 92.6) 8- 7 424 A Cocalico PA LL04 ( 9- 6, 87.7) 11- 7 426 H Parkland PA PVLL-LV (11- 6, 86.4) 9- 8 2o 506 A Hempfield PA LL04 (13-12, 89.7) 11- 9 512 H Manheim Township PA LL04 (19- 9, 93.0) 10-12 515 H Hempfield PA LL04 (13-12, 89.7) 9- 6 517 A Manheim Township PA LL04 (19- 9, 93.0) 3-11 521 H Hershey PA Mid 1 ( 9- 7, 85.5) 17- 8 523 A South-Western PA York 1 (11- 6, 89.7) 10- 5 528 A Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (14- 5, 93.8) 8-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Northern York Black 10- 2 8 7 0.63 325 A Conestoga Valley 12- 5 7 13 - -3.00 327 A Central Dauphin 14- 4 10 10 0.00 328 A North Allegheny 7-10 -3 -7 n/a 329 A Seneca Valley 9- 7 2 -5 n/a 403 A Elizabethtown 12- 4 8 14 - -2.00 405 A Penn Charter 3-16 -13 1 n/a 408 A Carlisle 8- 6 2 2 -0.16 410 H Ephrata 9- 5 4 11 --- -6.00 411 H Downingtown West 4- 3 1 8 n/a 415 H Penn Manor 8- 3 5 5 -0.83 417 H Cumberland Valley 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.33 418 A Hill School 4-17 -13 1 n/a 422 A Lampeter-Strasburg 8- 7 1 0 1.35 424 A Cocalico 11- 7 4 4 -0.62 426 H Parkland 9- 8 2o 1 7 n/a 506 A Hempfield 11- 9 2 2 -0.55 512 H Manheim Township 10-12 -2 0 - -2.43 515 H Hempfield 9- 6 3 3 -0.70 517 A Manheim Township 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.28 521 H Hershey 17- 8 9 7 1.07 523 A South-Western 10- 5 5 2 + 2.43 528 A Cumberland Valley 8-10 -2 -1 -0.53UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Penn Charter 3-16 -13 1 --- 410 H Ephrata 9- 5 4 11 --- -6.00 411 H Downingtown West 4- 3 1 8 --- 418 A Hill School 4-17 -13 1 --- 426 H Parkland 9- 8 2o 1 7 --- 517 A Manheim Township 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.28 325 A Conestoga Valley 12- 5 7 13 - -3.00 403 A Elizabethtown 12- 4 8 14 - -2.00 512 H Manheim Township 10-12 -2 0 - -2.43OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Seneca Valley 9- 7 2 -5 +++ 328 A North Allegheny 7-10 -3 -7 ++ 417 H Cumberland Valley 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.33 523 A South-Western 10- 5 5 2 + 2.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.85 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 74.76 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 9.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating.215.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0