Ukiah                         2 - 9


 
   Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-N           
   Nickname = A Crushers             Coach  =   Rich Shoemaker        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.3336258    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Mendocino              CA    NCLA-N  ( 1- 8, 73.5)     8- 6   
 302 H Santa Rosa             CA    NCLA-N  (13- 2, 91.1)     4-12   
 315 A Petaluma               CA    NCLA-N  (15- 5, 90.5)     1-15   
 316 A Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-N  (10- 7, 85.7)     4-14   
 322 A Mendocino              CA    NCLA-N  ( 1- 8, 73.5)    11-10  o
 412 N Stockton               CA    NCLA-E  ( 7- 4, 82.3)    10-11   
 412 N Gold Country           CA    NCLA-E  ( 6- 8, 78.2)     6- 9   
 413 A Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-N  (10- 7, 85.7)     4-10   
 416 H Petaluma               CA    NCLA-N  (15- 5, 90.5)     7-22   
 420 A Rancho Cotati          CA    NCLA-N  ( 5-11, 76.1)     5- 7   
 426 A Santa Rosa             CA    NCLA-N  (13- 2, 91.1)     2-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Mendocino               8- 6       2     0           1.37
   302 H Santa Rosa              4-12      -8   -16    +      2.00
   315 A Petaluma                1-15     -14   -17           0.00
   316 A Casa Grande             4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   322 A Mendocino              11-10  o    1     0           1.18
   412 N Stockton               10-11      -1    -8    +++    7.59
   412 N Gold Country            6- 9      -3    -4           1.52
   413 A Casa Grande             4-10      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   416 H Petaluma                7-22     -15   -16           0.00
   420 A Rancho Cotati           5- 7      -2    -2           0.82
   426 A Santa Rosa              2-13     -11   -17           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 N Stockton               10-11      -1    -8    +++    7.59
   413 A Casa Grande             4-10      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   302 H Santa Rosa              4-12      -8   -16    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.71 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.45 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3


  
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