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Region = MI 1 Nickname = I Colts Coach = Matt JantzGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.4007492 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 403 H Notre Dame Prep MI 2 (19- 2, 82.4) 5- 7 405 H Pine Richland PA 1DNORTH (11- 7, 92.2) 3-13 408 A Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1 ( 2-13, 59.3) 16- 4 412 H Waterford MI 1 (10- 8, 72.3) 13- 2 416 H Rochester Adams MI 2 (11- 9, 71.5) 7- 8 o 417 A Farmington MI 2 (12- 6, 74.6) 7-12 422 H Birmingham-Seaholm MI 1 (11- 9, 82.1) 3-15 425 A Detroit Country Day MI 2 ( 5-16, 72.6) 3- 9 429 H Clarkston MI 1 ( 7- 9, 70.1) 12- 7 430 A North-Harrison MI 1 ( 8-10, 67.3) 17-11 502 A Lake Orion MI 1 ( 4-12, 64.7) 13- 6 506 H Royal Oak MI 1 (10- 8, 69.6) 11- 9 508 H Troy Athens MI 1 ( 9- 9, 79.2) 7-12 509 A OL St Mary's MI 2 ( 9- 9, 76.9) 8-10 513 H Utica Eisenhower MI 1 (13- 7, 75.4) 3-14 515 A Bloomfield Hills MI 1 ( 8-12, 71.1) 7-11 522 H Bloomfield Hills MI 1 ( 8-12, 71.1) 7-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Notre Dame Prep 5- 7 -2 -11 +++ 8.00 405 H Pine Richland 3-13 -10 -21 n/a 408 A Rochester Stoney Creek 16- 4 12 9 0.58 412 H Waterford 13- 2 11 -1 +++ 11.28 416 H Rochester Adams 7- 8 o -1 0 -0.52 417 A Farmington 7-12 -5 -5 0.83 422 H Birmingham-Seaholm 3-15 -12 -11 0.00 425 A Detroit Country Day 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.15 429 H Clarkston 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.03 430 A North-Harrison 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.59 502 A Lake Orion 13- 6 7 4 + 2.99 506 H Royal Oak 11- 9 2 1 0.55 508 H Troy Athens 7-12 -5 -8 + 3.11 509 A OL St Mary's 8-10 -2 -8 +++ 6.21 513 H Utica Eisenhower 3-14 -11 -4 -- -5.68 515 A Bloomfield Hills 7-11 -4 -2 -1.65 522 H Bloomfield Hills 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 H Utica Eisenhower 3-14 -11 -4 -- -5.68 522 H Bloomfield Hills 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.95 425 A Detroit Country Day 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.15OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Notre Dame Prep 5- 7 -2 -11 +++ 8.00 412 H Waterford 13- 2 11 -1 +++ 11.28 509 A OL St Mary's 8-10 -2 -8 +++ 6.21 429 H Clarkston 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.03 430 A North-Harrison 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.59 502 A Lake Orion 13- 6 7 4 + 2.99 508 H Troy Athens 7-12 -5 -8 + 3.11/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 69.89 Local Power Rank........... 48 Local SOS Rating......... 47.46 Local SOS Rank............. 29 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 42 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 70 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 58 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -7.0