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Conf = ECIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Bears Coach = Tom TsagarakisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.9096985 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Fitch-Groton CT M ( 5-10, 66.9) 9- 3 410 H Woodstock Academy CT M ( 9- 8, 67.9) 17- 5 414 A Norwich Free Academy CT L (11- 7, 78.8) 6-17 417 A Ledyard CT M (11- 7, 76.4) 7-15 419 A Narragansett RI Div-1A (12- 6, 88.0) 12- 6 422 A Waterford CT S ( 3-12, 65.3) 11- 8 424 H Ledyard CT M (11- 7, 76.4) 3-16 429 H Wheeler-No Stonington CT S ( 3-13, 60.6) 13- 4 501 A East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 86.6) 8-12 505 H Valley Regional CT S ( 7- 9, 66.2) 15- 4 508 H Saint Bernard CT S ( 6-10, 63.3) 16- 1 510 A Suffield HS CT S (10- 8, 75.2) 8-12 512 A Tolland CT S ( 7-10, 69.9) 9-11 513 H Old Lyme CT S (16- 1, 89.6) 4-19 515 H Farmington CT M (11- 7, 77.6) 7- 8 519 H Morgan-Clinton CT S ( 9- 7, 74.7) 5-11 521 A East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 86.6) 5-14 531 A Old Lyme CT S (16- 1, 89.6) 2-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Fitch-Groton 9- 3 6 4 1.78 410 H Woodstock Academy 17- 5 12 5 ++ 4.96 414 A Norwich Free Academy 6-17 -11 -7 - -2.29 417 A Ledyard 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.74 419 A Narragansett 12- 6 6 -16 n/a 422 A Waterford 11- 8 3 5 - -2.82 424 H Ledyard 3-16 -13 -3 --- -6.58 429 H Wheeler-No Stonington 13- 4 9 12 -1.00 501 A East Lyme 8-12 -4 -15 +++ 6.00 505 H Valley Regional 15- 4 11 6 + 3.25 508 H Saint Bernard 16- 1 15 9 0.31 510 A Suffield HS 8-12 -4 -4 0.11 512 A Tolland 9-11 -2 1 - -3.17 513 H Old Lyme 4-19 -15 -16 0.00 515 H Farmington 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.68 519 H Morgan-Clinton 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.30 521 A East Lyme 5-14 -9 -15 1.00 531 A Old Lyme 2-15 -13 -18 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Ledyard 3-16 -13 -3 --- -6.58 519 H Morgan-Clinton 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.30 414 A Norwich Free Academy 6-17 -11 -7 - -2.29 417 A Ledyard 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.74 422 A Waterford 11- 8 3 5 - -2.82 512 A Tolland 9-11 -2 1 - -3.17OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Narragansett 12- 6 6 -16 +++ 501 A East Lyme 8-12 -4 -15 +++ 6.00 410 H Woodstock Academy 17- 5 12 5 ++ 4.96 505 H Valley Regional 15- 4 11 6 + 3.25 515 H Farmington 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.68/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.04 Local Power Rank........... 50 Local SOS Rating......... 50.99 Local SOS Rank............. 47 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 43 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 63 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 58 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -9.3