St Mary's White               3 - 7


 
                                     Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Joe Smith             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   97.0099564    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Lew-Port               NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 83.8)    10- 2   
 405 H Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 5- 5, 92.0)     0- 1   
 407 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 5, 83.8)     0- 1   
 412 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     4- 5   
 422 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.4)    11- 6   
 501 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 2, 99.9)     6- 7   
 502 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 5- 5, 92.0)     1- 5   
 503 N St Mary's Blue         NY I  Sec 6   ( 7- 3, 94.8)     0- 1   
 505 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.4)     7- 8   
 506 H Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 2, 99.9)     6- 5   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Lew-Port               10- 2       8     7           0.16
   412 H Gow School              4- 5      -1    -1           0.04
   422 H Newfane                11- 6       5     5          -0.39
   501 A Kenmore East            6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.26
   502 A Genesee                 1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.61
   505 A Newfane                 7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.23
   506 H Kenmore East            6- 5       1    -8    +++    9.10


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Newfane                 7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.23
   502 A Genesee                 1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.61


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Kenmore East            6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.26
   506 H Kenmore East            6- 5       1    -8    +++    9.10




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.72 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.01 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3


  
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