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Region = NC 3A/2A Nickname = C Falcons Coach = Mark GoldsmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.8708725 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 229 A Eastern Guilford NC 3A/2A ( 2-13, 65.2) 20- 2 311 A Cardinal Gibbons NC 3A/2A (16- 5, 89.0) 6-16 314 H Farragut TN 1 East ( 5- 9, 81.9) 5- 8 318 A Bishop McGuinness NC 3A/2A ( 7- 8, 76.0) 11-10 320 A Reagan NC 3A/2A ( 6-12, 69.2) 15- 5 321 H R.J. Reynolds NC 4A ( 9- 8, 81.9) 8- 9 401 A SouthWest Guilford NC 3A/2A (13- 8, 77.6) 11- 5 402 N NorthEast Guilford NC 3A/2A ( 2-15, 61.1) 15- 5 408 H Reagan NC 3A/2A ( 6-12, 69.2) 21- 2 409 H Cedar Ridge NC 3A/2A (11- 7, 79.6) 6- 5 o 411 H Bishop McGuinness NC 3A/2A ( 7- 8, 76.0) 15- 5 415 A NorthEast Guilford NC 3A/2A ( 2-15, 61.1) 12- 1 416 H SouthWest Guilford NC 3A/2A (13- 8, 77.6) 16- 3 418 H Wilmington Hoggard NC 4A (17- 5, 90.1) 6- 7 3o 421 H Western Alamance NC 3A/2A (10- 8, 81.0) 9- 8 423 A Ragsdale-Jamestown NC 3A/2A ( 7-12, 73.0) 10- 5 428 H Caldwell Academy NC Privte ( 0- 8, 74.5) 16- 7 501 H Ragsdale-Jamestown NC 3A/2A ( 7-12, 73.0) 15- 5 509 H SouthWest Guilford NC 3A/2A (13- 8, 77.6) 9- 7 514 A Cardinal Gibbons NC 3A/2A (16- 5, 89.0) 8- 9 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 229 A Eastern Guilford 20- 2 18 18 0.00 311 A Cardinal Gibbons 6-16 -10 -5 -- -4.42 314 H Farragut 5- 8 -3 3 n/a 318 A Bishop McGuinness 11-10 1 7 --- -6.50 320 A Reagan 15- 5 10 14 0.00 321 H R.J. Reynolds 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.14 401 A SouthWest Guilford 11- 5 6 5 0.18 402 N NorthEast Guilford 15- 5 10 23 0.00 408 H Reagan 21- 2 19 15 0.00 409 H Cedar Ridge 6- 5 o 1 5 -- -4.45 411 H Bishop McGuinness 15- 5 10 9 0.92 415 A NorthEast Guilford 12- 1 11 22 0.00 416 H SouthWest Guilford 16- 3 13 7 + 2.59 418 H Wilmington Hoggard 6- 7 3o -1 -5 ++ 4.09 421 H Western Alamance 9- 8 1 4 - -3.10 423 A Ragsdale-Jamestown 10- 5 5 10 -- -5.00 428 H Caldwell Academy 16- 7 9 10 n/a 501 H Ragsdale-Jamestown 15- 5 10 12 0.00 509 H SouthWest Guilford 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.41 514 A Cardinal Gibbons 8- 9 o -1 -5 ++ 4.58UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Farragut 5- 8 -3 3 --- 318 A Bishop McGuinness 11-10 1 7 --- -6.50 311 A Cardinal Gibbons 6-16 -10 -5 -- -4.42 321 H R.J. Reynolds 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.14 409 H Cedar Ridge 6- 5 o 1 5 -- -4.45 423 A Ragsdale-Jamestown 10- 5 5 10 -- -5.00 509 H SouthWest Guilford 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.41 421 H Western Alamance 9- 8 1 4 - -3.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Wilmington Hoggard 6- 7 3o -1 -5 ++ 4.09 514 A Cardinal Gibbons 8- 9 o -1 -5 ++ 4.58 416 H SouthWest Guilford 16- 3 13 7 + 2.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.26 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 51.74 Local SOS Rank............. 46 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 47 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7