South County                  6 - 6


 
                                     Region = VA    Patriot          
   Nickname = A Stallions            Coach  =   Ken Carrington        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.2191620    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Robert E Lee           VA    Patriot ( 2-10, 70.6)    10- 4   
 401 A Fairfax                VA    Concord ( 4- 8, 78.7)     5- 6   
 411 A West Springfield       VA    Patriot ( 7- 6, 85.3)    11-10  o
 415 H Annandale              VA    Patriot (15- 4, 89.2)     7-10   
 419 H Hayfield               VA    Patriot ( 6- 5, 83.2)    13- 7   
 422 A T.C. Williams          VA    Patriot ( 3-10, 72.2)    16- 7   
 423 H West Potomac           VA    Patriot ( 1-11, 68.8)    15- 2   
 425 A Chantilly              VA    Concord (20- 0, 99.9)     8-17   
 429 H Lake Braddock          VA    Patriot (11- 5, 86.2)     5- 9   
 501 H T.C. Williams          VA    Patriot ( 3-10, 72.2)    17- 6   
 505 N Lake Braddock          VA    Patriot (11- 5, 86.2)     7- 8  o
 514 A Woodson                VA    Liberty ( 9- 7, 88.3)     4-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Robert E Lee           10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   401 A Fairfax                 5- 6      -1     4    --    -5.04
   411 A West Springfield       11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.59
   415 H Annandale               7-10      -3    -5    +      2.40
   419 H Hayfield               13- 7       6     0    ++     5.41
   422 A T.C. Williams          16- 7       9    10          -1.00
   423 H West Potomac           15- 2      13    14           0.00
   425 A Chantilly               8-17      -9   -17           1.00
   429 H Lake Braddock           5- 9      -4    -2          -1.55
   501 H T.C. Williams          17- 6      11    11           0.00
   505 N Lake Braddock           7- 8  o   -1    -2           1.97
   514 A Woodson                 4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.44


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Robert E Lee           10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   401 A Fairfax                 5- 6      -1     4    --    -5.04
   514 A Woodson                 4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.44


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Hayfield               13- 7       6     0    ++     5.41
   411 A West Springfield       11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.59
   415 H Annandale               7-10      -3    -5    +      2.40




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.26 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.79 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0


  
/