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Region = NY A Sec 6 Nickname = Y Falcons Coach = Vince ShiffertGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.4192505 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 326 A Amherst NY B Sec 6 (13- 5, 93.2) 6- 9 329 A Ithaca NY A Sec 4 (14- 6, 96.8) 5- 7 408 H Jamestown NY A Sec 6 ( 2-15, 66.7) 24- 1 412 A Nichols NY P Sec 6 ( 0-15, 71.8) 19- 4 419 H Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (21- 2, 99.9) 16-17 421 H Lancaster NY A Sec 6 ( 8- 7, 83.9) 15- 9 423 A Clarence NY A Sec 6 (12- 8, 86.6) 12-11 426 A Timon St Jude NY P Sec 6 (14- 4, 91.9) 15- 9 428 H West Seneca West NY A Sec 6 ( 5-13, 78.1) 16- 6 501 A Grand Island NY B Sec 6 ( 6-11, 80.5) 16- 3 502 H Williamsville North NY A Sec 6 ( 8-10, 82.9) 19- 6 506 A Lockport NY A Sec 6 ( 7-12, 79.3) 11- 5 509 A North Tonawanda NY A Sec 6 ( 3-11, 70.6) 25- 1 510 H Eden NY C Sec 6 (11- 8, 82.5) 15- 3 513 A Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (19- 3, 99.7) 14-17 515 A Frontier NY A Sec 6 (13- 6, 90.6) 13-11 519 A Cicero-North Syracuse NY A Sec 3 (15- 4, 95.1) 15-16 o 524 H Salamanca NY C Sec 6 (17- 3, 90.3) 20-11 530 H Lockport NY A Sec 6 ( 7-12, 79.3) 18- 3 603 H Frontier NY A Sec 6 (13- 6, 90.6) 14- 9 606 N Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (19- 3, 99.7) 13-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Amherst 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.85 329 A Ithaca 5- 7 -2 -2 n/a 408 H Jamestown 24- 1 23 28 0.00 412 A Nichols 19- 4 15 22 0.00 419 H Hamburg 16-17 -1 -4 + 3.43 421 H Lancaster 15- 9 6 11 -- -4.00 423 A Clarence 12-11 1 7 --- -6.45 426 A Timon St Jude 15- 9 6 2 + 3.93 428 H West Seneca West 16- 6 10 17 0.00 501 A Grand Island 16- 3 13 13 0.00 502 H Williamsville North 19- 6 13 12 0.00 506 A Lockport 11- 5 6 14 -- -4.00 509 A North Tonawanda 25- 1 24 23 0.00 510 H Eden 15- 3 12 12 0.00 513 A Orchard Park 14-17 -3 -5 + 2.66 515 A Frontier 13-11 2 3 -1.37 519 A Cicero-North Syracuse 15-16 o -1 -1 n/a 524 H Salamanca 20-11 9 5 + 3.81 530 H Lockport 18- 3 15 16 0.00 603 H Frontier 14- 9 5 4 0.18 606 N Orchard Park 13-15 -2 -4 + 2.93UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Clarence 12-11 1 7 --- -6.45 421 H Lancaster 15- 9 6 11 -- -4.00 506 A Lockport 11- 5 6 14 -- -4.00 326 A Amherst 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 H Hamburg 16-17 -1 -4 + 3.43 426 A Timon St Jude 15- 9 6 2 + 3.93 513 A Orchard Park 14-17 -3 -5 + 2.66 524 H Salamanca 20-11 9 5 + 3.81 606 N Orchard Park 13-15 -2 -4 + 2.93/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.74 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 70.55 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 14.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0