Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Middie Bears         Coach  =   Scott Cantara         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2979431    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 6-12, 83.0)     7-16   
 404 H Delaware Valley        NY C  Sec 9   ( 0-18, 68.7)     8- 3   
 405 A Highland               NY C  Sec 9   ( 2-13, 73.8)    11- 7   
 408 A O'Neill                NY C  Sec 9   (12- 5, 91.7)     8-18   
 410 A Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 5-11, 80.5)     8-10   
 412 H Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (19- 2, 98.9)     4-16   
 415 H Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-15, 78.4)    11- 8   
 418 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (14- 3, 99.9)     4-18   
 422 H Wallkill               NY B  Sec 9   ( 7-10, 83.9)     2-15   
 424 H Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (12- 6, 94.6)     1-18   
 425 H Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (10- 9, 93.7)     2-15   
 503 H Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (14- 6, 94.4)     4-14   
 506 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 8- 8, 90.0)     4-17   
 508 A Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-15, 78.4)     7-10   
 510 H Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (14- 3, 99.9)     4-18   
 515 A Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (12- 6, 94.6)     3-19   
 519 A J.S. Burke Catholic    NY C  Sec 9   ( 5-11, 81.0)     8-10   
 520 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 8- 8, 90.0)    15-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Roosevelt Hyde Park     7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.71
   404 H Delaware Valley         8- 3       5     9    --    -4.07
   405 A Highland               11- 7       4     3           0.69
   408 A O'Neill                 8-18     -10   -14           0.00
   410 A Washingtonville         8-10      -2    -3           1.45
   412 H Valley Central          4-16     -12   -21           0.00
   415 H Newburgh Free Academy  11- 8       3     0    +      3.67
   418 A Pine Bush               4-18     -14   -22           0.00
   422 H Wallkill                2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.86
   424 H Kingston                1-18     -17   -16           0.00
   425 H Warwick Valley          2-15     -13   -15           0.00
   503 H Minisink Valley         4-14     -10   -16           0.00
   506 A Monroe-Woodbury         4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   508 A Newburgh Free Academy   7-10      -3    -1          -1.66
   510 H Pine Bush               4-18     -14   -22           0.00
   515 A Kingston                3-19     -16   -17           0.00
   519 A J.S. Burke Catholic     8-10      -2    -3           1.95
   520 H Monroe-Woodbury        15-16      -1   -12    +++    9.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Delaware Valley         8- 3       5     9    --    -4.07
   402 H Roosevelt Hyde Park     7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.71
   422 H Wallkill                2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H Monroe-Woodbury        15-16      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   415 H Newburgh Free Academy  11- 8       3     0    +      3.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.39 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.08 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-15 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/