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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Green Dragons Coach = Frank DeRubeisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.2291794 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Pomperaug CT M ( 6-10, 74.0) 10- 9 408 H Cheshire HS CT L (10-10, 83.3) 5-14 411 H Amity Regional CT L (14- 6, 84.2) 12-15 415 A Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (12- 9, 83.6) 11-17 417 A West Haven CT L ( 1-15, 56.1) 13- 4 419 A Southington CT L ( 5-10, 74.0) 11-12 422 H Xavier CT L (11- 7, 82.1) 8-19 424 H Newington CT L ( 3-13, 67.7) 7- 4 426 H Fairfield-Ludlowe CT M (10- 7, 80.9) 2- 6 429 H Guilford CT M (11- 8, 82.3) 8- 7 501 H Fairfield Prep CT L (19- 4, 93.8) 6-16 505 A North Haven CT M ( 6-10, 69.6) 13- 4 508 A Shelton CT L ( 8- 9, 73.5) 11- 8 510 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 5-11, 70.5) 10- 6 513 H Notre Dame-West Haven CT M ( 6-10, 71.1) 14- 1 516 A Branford CT M ( 4-13, 74.8) 4-15 520 A Fairfield Prep CT L (19- 4, 93.8) 5-19 529 H South Windsor CT L ( 8-10, 73.3) 4-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Pomperaug 10- 9 1 0 0.94 408 H Cheshire HS 5-14 -9 -7 -1.55 411 H Amity Regional 12-15 -3 -8 ++ 5.35 415 A Daniel Hand-Madison 11-17 -6 -9 + 3.59 417 A West Haven 13- 4 9 17 -1.00 419 A Southington 11-12 -1 0 -1.06 422 H Xavier 8-19 -11 -6 - -3.72 424 H Newington 7- 4 3 8 -- -5.15 426 H Fairfield-Ludlowe 2- 6 -4 -4 0.99 429 H Guilford 8- 7 1 -6 +++ 7.43 501 H Fairfield Prep 6-16 -10 -17 0.00 505 A North Haven 13- 4 9 4 ++ 4.62 508 A Shelton 11- 8 3 0 + 2.44 510 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 10- 6 4 5 -1.41 513 H Notre Dame-West Haven 14- 1 13 4 ++ 5.27 516 A Branford 4-15 -11 0 --- -9.23 520 A Fairfield Prep 5-19 -14 -19 0.00 529 H South Windsor 4-10 -6 2 --- -8.60UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A Branford 4-15 -11 0 --- -9.23 529 H South Windsor 4-10 -6 2 --- -8.60 424 H Newington 7- 4 3 8 -- -5.15 422 H Xavier 8-19 -11 -6 - -3.72OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Guilford 8- 7 1 -6 +++ 7.43 411 H Amity Regional 12-15 -3 -8 ++ 5.35 505 A North Haven 13- 4 9 4 ++ 4.62 513 H Notre Dame-West Haven 14- 1 13 4 ++ 5.27 415 A Daniel Hand-Madison 11-17 -6 -9 + 3.59 508 A Shelton 11- 8 3 0 + 2.44
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 74.95 Local Power Rank........... 40 Local SOS Rating......... 53.62 Local SOS Rank............. 36 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 45 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 32 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 43 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -10.3