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Region = NC 4A Nickname = C Pirates Coach = Jim KirkleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.0232544 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 229 H NorthWest Guilford NC 4A ( 6- 9, 80.5) 8- 7 o 311 A Apex NC 4A (20- 4, 94.3) 5-17 314 A Durham Jordan NC 4A (10- 9, 87.3) 3- 4 315 H Annapolis Area Christn MD B MIAA ( 7-10, 83.5) 9-10 318 H East Chapel Hill NC 4A (18- 5, 92.8) 3- 7 320 H Wilmington Laney NC 4A ( 9- 8, 83.8) 3- 4 2o 325 A Durham Academy NC Prvate (12- 5, 96.5) 4- 8 327 H Greensboro Grimsley NC 4A (12- 7, 86.7) 10-13 402 A Bishop Sullivan VA 2 Tidewtr (15- 7, 92.9) 6- 7 404 A Williamsburg LC VA Indep (10- 4, 99.9) 4- 9 408 A Cardinal Gibbons NC 3A/2A (16- 5, 89.0) 7- 9 410 H Western Guilford NC 3A/2A (13- 4, 88.6) 9-11 411 H Northern Durham NC 4A ( 1-13, 71.8) 10- 2 415 H Chapel Hill NC 4A (20- 2, 98.4) 3-11 418 H Durham Jordan NC 4A (10- 9, 87.3) 4- 6 422 A East Chapel Hill NC 4A (18- 5, 92.8) 3-10 424 A Broughton-Needham NC 4A ( 7- 8, 79.8) 6- 1 425 H Holy Cross-St Cath CN NRHSAA (15- 1, 99.9) 7-11 429 A Northern Durham NC 4A ( 1-13, 71.8) 7- 1 501 A Chapel Hill NC 4A (20- 2, 98.4) 8-13 502 H R.J. Reynolds NC 4A ( 9- 8, 81.9) 8- 5PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 229 H NorthWest Guilford 8- 7 o 1 2 -1.14 311 A Apex 5-17 -12 -13 0.00 314 A Durham Jordan 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 5.32 315 H Annapolis Area Christn 9-10 -1 0 n/a 318 H East Chapel Hill 3- 7 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 320 H Wilmington Laney 3- 4 2o -1 -1 0.17 325 A Durham Academy 4- 8 -4 -15 n/a 327 H Greensboro Grimsley 10-13 -3 -4 1.09 402 A Bishop Sullivan 6- 7 -1 -12 n/a 404 A Williamsburg LC 4- 9 -5 -18 n/a 408 A Cardinal Gibbons 7- 9 -2 -8 +++ 6.01 410 H Western Guilford 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.95 411 H Northern Durham 10- 2 8 10 - -2.00 415 H Chapel Hill 3-11 -8 -15 + 2.00 418 H Durham Jordan 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.73 422 A East Chapel Hill 3-10 -7 -11 + 3.00 424 A Broughton-Needham 6- 1 5 1 + 3.81 425 H Holy Cross-St Cath 7-11 -4 -17 n/a 429 A Northern Durham 7- 1 6 9 - -3.26 501 A Chapel Hill 8-13 -5 -17 ++ 5.00 502 H R.J. Reynolds 8- 5 3 0 + 2.30UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Northern Durham 10- 2 8 10 - -2.00 429 A Northern Durham 7- 1 6 9 - -3.26OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H East Chapel Hill 3- 7 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 325 A Durham Academy 4- 8 -4 -15 +++ 402 A Bishop Sullivan 6- 7 -1 -12 +++ 408 A Cardinal Gibbons 7- 9 -2 -8 +++ 6.01 425 H Holy Cross-St Cath 7-11 -4 -17 +++ 314 A Durham Jordan 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 5.32 404 A Williamsburg LC 4- 9 -5 -18 ++ 501 A Chapel Hill 8-13 -5 -17 ++ 5.00 410 H Western Guilford 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.95 415 H Chapel Hill 3-11 -8 -15 + 2.00 418 H Durham Jordan 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.73 422 A East Chapel Hill 3-10 -7 -11 + 3.00 424 A Broughton-Needham 6- 1 5 1 + 3.81 502 H R.J. Reynolds 8- 5 3 0 + 2.30/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.82 Local Power Rank........... 22 Local SOS Rating......... 74.78 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 21 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 32 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-16 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3