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Conf = D2 Region = CA NCLA-E Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Mike MessersmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.3718414 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Gold Country CA NCLA-E ( 6- 8, 78.2) 13- 6 301 A Redding CA NCLA-E ( 1- 9, 72.7) 11- 5 309 A Chico CA NCLA-E (10- 4, 87.9) 5- 6 o 311 A Sierra Foothills CA NCLA-E ( 0-11, 63.4) 17- 2 315 H Orangevale CA NCLA-E ( 4-10, 76.1) 14-11 329 A Casa Grande CA NCLA-N (10- 7, 85.7) 6-10 405 H Redding CA NCLA-E ( 1- 9, 72.7) 11- 6 412 N Rancho Cotati CA NCLA-N ( 5-11, 76.1) 7- 2 412 N Santa Rosa CA NCLA-N (13- 2, 91.1) 5- 7 413 N Palo Alto (THLC) CA NCLA-S ( 9- 8, 84.2) 6-15 416 A Orangevale CA NCLA-E ( 4-10, 76.1) 14- 8 419 A Stockton CA NCLA-E ( 7- 4, 82.3) 8- 5 426 H Gold Country CA NCLA-E ( 6- 8, 78.2) 11- 4 430 H Sierra Foothills CA NCLA-E ( 0-11, 63.4) 17- 0 510 A West Valley CA NCLA-S (18- 0, 99.9) 3-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Gold Country 13- 6 7 6 0.87 301 A Redding 11- 5 6 11 -- -4.00 309 A Chico 5- 6 o -1 -3 + 2.49 311 A Sierra Foothills 17- 2 15 20 0.00 315 H Orangevale 14-11 3 9 --- -6.10 329 A Casa Grande 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.67 405 H Redding 11- 6 5 12 -- -5.00 412 N Rancho Cotati 7- 2 5 8 - -3.64 412 N Santa Rosa 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.29 413 N Palo Alto (THLC) 6-15 -9 0 --- -9.54 416 A Orangevale 14- 8 6 8 - -2.29 419 A Stockton 8- 5 3 2 0.94 426 H Gold Country 11- 4 7 6 0.05 430 H Sierra Foothills 17- 0 17 21 0.00 510 A West Valley 3-18 -15 -15 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H Orangevale 14-11 3 9 --- -6.10 413 N Palo Alto (THLC) 6-15 -9 0 --- -9.54 301 A Redding 11- 5 6 11 -- -4.00 405 H Redding 11- 6 5 12 -- -5.00 329 A Casa Grande 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.67 412 N Rancho Cotati 7- 2 5 8 - -3.64 416 A Orangevale 14- 8 6 8 - -2.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 N Santa Rosa 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.29 309 A Chico 5- 6 o -1 -3 + 2.49/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.77 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 57.32 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0