Bay City Central              5 - 7


 
                                     Region = MI 2                   
   Nickname = I Wolves               Coach  =   Charles Hewitt        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   70.3392487    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 H Petoskey               MI 4  Club    ( 8- 5, 94.9)     6- 1   
 415 A Lapeer West            MI 2          ( 7- 3, 69.3)     3- 7   
 418 A Swartz Creek           MI 2          ( 6-11, 61.3)    11- 4   
 419 H DeWitt                 MI 4  Club    ( 8- 6, 85.4)     6- 5   
 422 H Davison                MI 2          (10- 6, 72.0)     6-12   
 425 A Hartland               MI 1          ( 6-11, 65.7)     6- 8   
 429 A Midland                MI 4  Club    ( 7- 9, 81.0)     4- 7   
 503 A DeWitt                 MI 4  Club    ( 8- 6, 85.4)     8-10   
 508 H Grand Blanc            MI 1          ( 4-12, 62.6)    13-12   
 510 H Traverse City West     MI 4  Club    ( 5- 7, 90.0)     6- 7   
 513 H Swartz Creek           MI 2          ( 6-11, 61.3)     6- 2   
 522 A De La Salle            MI 2          (10- 8, 80.1)     3-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Petoskey                6- 1       5   -20          n/a  
   415 A Lapeer West             3- 7      -4     3    ---   -7.50
   418 A Swartz Creek           11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   419 H DeWitt                  6- 5       1   -10          n/a  
   422 H Davison                 6-12      -6     3    ---   -9.16
   425 A Hartland                6- 8      -2     7    ---   -9.11
   429 A Midland                 4- 7      -3    -7          n/a  
   503 A DeWitt                  8-10      -2   -12          n/a  
   508 H Grand Blanc            13-12       1    12    ---   -9.00
   510 H Traverse City West      6- 7      -1   -15          n/a  
   513 H Swartz Creek            6- 2       4    13    ---   -6.00
   522 A De La Salle             3-15     -12    -7    -     -2.72


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Lapeer West             3- 7      -4     3    ---   -7.50
   422 H Davison                 6-12      -6     3    ---   -9.16
   425 A Hartland                6- 8      -2     7    ---   -9.11
   508 H Grand Blanc            13-12       1    12    ---   -9.00
   513 H Swartz Creek            6- 2       4    13    ---   -6.00
   418 A Swartz Creek           11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   522 A De La Salle             3-15     -12    -7    -     -2.72


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Petoskey                6- 1       5   -20    +++        
   419 H DeWitt                  6- 5       1   -10    +++        
   503 A DeWitt                  8-10      -2   -12    +++        
   510 H Traverse City West      6- 7      -1   -15    +++        
   429 A Midland                 4- 7      -3    -7    ++         




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.00 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.09 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0


  
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