Aurora                        5 - 6


 
                                     Region = CN    YRAA-S           
   Nickname = N Golden Eagles                                         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.1669540    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 N St Andrew's College    CN    CISAA   (15- 4, 92.3)     1-10   
 417 A St Michael's College   CN    CISAA   (11- 4, 92.7)     2-12   
 502 N Cardinal Carter        CN    YRAA-S  ( 3- 2, 84.0)   
 506 N St Mary's Catholic     CN    LOSSA   ( 7- 8, 86.5)     2- 9   
 507 H Sutton District        CN    YRAA-N  ( 1- 3, 74.8)     9- 4   
 507 H Keswick                CN    YRAA-N  ( 2- 5, 75.9)     9- 4   
 514 N Upper Canada College   CN    CISAA   ( 3- 9, 83.1)     7- 4   
 514 N St Andrew's College    CN    CISAA   (15- 4, 92.3)     0- 7   
 514 N Monsignor Paul Dwyer   CN    LOSSA   (14- 3, 94.2)     4- 7   
 520 H Keswick                CN    YRAA-N  ( 2- 5, 75.9)     8- 1   
 521 A Sir William Mulock     CN    YRAA-N  ( 5- 5, 85.9)     3- 8   
 528 H Huron Heights          CN    YRAA-N  ( 1- 3, 74.8)    12- 5   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 N St Andrew's College     1-10      -9    -9           0.78
   417 A St Michael's College    2-12     -10   -11           0.00
   506 N St Mary's Catholic      2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.98
   507 H Sutton District         9- 4       5     8    -     -3.88
   507 H Keswick                 9- 4       5     7    -     -2.73
   514 N Upper Canada College    7- 4       3     0    +      3.57
   514 N St Andrew's College     0- 7      -7    -9    +      2.78
   514 N Monsignor Paul Dwyer    4- 7      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   520 H Keswick                 8- 1       7     7          -0.73
   521 A Sir William Mulock      3- 8      -5    -4          -0.42
   528 H Huron Heights          12- 5       7     8          -1.84


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 N St Mary's Catholic      2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.98
   507 H Sutton District         9- 4       5     8    -     -3.88
   507 H Keswick                 9- 4       5     7    -     -2.73


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 N Monsignor Paul Dwyer    4- 7      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   514 N Upper Canada College    7- 4       3     0    +      3.57
   514 N St Andrew's College     0- 7      -7    -9    +      2.78




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.52 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.46 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....   106
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0


  
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