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Conf = Merrimack Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Golden Warrior Coach = Wayne PuglisiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.2515717 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 327 H Newton South MA 1 ( 4-16, 76.7) 8- 3 401 H Dracut MA 2 ( 2-16, 71.7) 19- 1 404 A Chelmsford MA 1 (12- 9, 86.1) 6- 3 407 H Bishop Guertin NH 1 (18- 2, 99.9) 7-17 409 A Haverhill MA 1 ( 7-10, 78.4) 15- 3 412 A Beverly MA 1 ( 9-10, 78.4) 13- 1 415 A Central Catholic MA 2 (13- 8, 84.4) 18- 7 418 H Billerica MA 1 (17- 5, 95.7) 8- 9 421 H North Andover MA 2 (17- 5, 88.2) 7- 4 424 H Lexington HS MA 1 (15- 5, 90.4) 2- 8 429 H Xaverian Bros MA 1 (16- 6, 94.9) 7-12 502 H Chelmsford MA 1 (12- 9, 86.1) 11- 4 505 A Masconomet MA 2 (15- 6, 86.8) 10- 6 507 A Tewksbury Memorial MA 2 (10- 9, 81.9) 10- 3 513 A Lowell MA 1 (14- 7, 86.8) 8- 4 515 A Billerica MA 1 (17- 5, 95.7) 9- 8 519 H Waltham MA 1 (13- 8, 88.7) 14-10 521 H Lincoln-Sudbury MA 1 (12- 7, 89.8) 8-11 531 H Peabody MA 1 (14- 6, 85.4) 13- 2 605 A St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (18- 3, 96.7) 13-14 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Newton South 8- 3 5 15 -- -5.00 401 H Dracut 19- 1 18 20 0.00 404 A Chelmsford 6- 3 3 4 -1.55 407 H Bishop Guertin 7-17 -10 -7 n/a 409 A Haverhill 15- 3 12 12 0.00 412 A Beverly 13- 1 12 12 0.00 415 A Central Catholic 18- 7 11 6 + 3.69 418 H Billerica 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.16 421 H North Andover 7- 4 3 4 -1.32 424 H Lexington HS 2- 8 -6 2 --- -8.13 429 H Xaverian Bros 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.66 502 H Chelmsford 11- 4 7 6 0.59 505 A Masconomet 10- 6 4 3 0.19 507 A Tewksbury Memorial 10- 3 7 8 -1.76 513 A Lowell 8- 4 4 3 0.14 515 A Billerica 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.02 519 H Waltham 14-10 4 3 0.13 521 H Lincoln-Sudbury 8-11 -3 2 -- -5.68 531 H Peabody 13- 2 11 7 + 2.88 605 A St Johns Prep Danvers 13-14 o -1 -6 ++ 5.02UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Lexington HS 2- 8 -6 2 --- -8.13 327 H Newton South 8- 3 5 15 -- -5.00 521 H Lincoln-Sudbury 8-11 -3 2 -- -5.68 407 H Bishop Guertin 7-17 -10 -7 - 429 H Xaverian Bros 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Billerica 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.02 605 A St Johns Prep Danvers 13-14 o -1 -6 ++ 5.02 415 A Central Catholic 18- 7 11 6 + 3.69 418 H Billerica 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.16 531 H Peabody 13- 2 11 7 + 2.88/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.59 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 71.76 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3