Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4297028    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 5-11, 85.1)    16- 5   
 317 H Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    ( 9- 6, 89.4)     3-13   
 323 H Herndon                VA    Concord ( 5- 7, 85.9)    10- 4   
 326 H Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 4-10, 77.2)    11- 2   
 329 A Edison                 VA    Nationl ( 6-10, 79.4)    17- 4   
 413 H Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 7- 9, 80.3)    12- 3   
 417 A Chantilly              VA    Concord ( 9- 8, 91.5)     5- 8   
 419 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 78.2)    13- 6   
 424 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (20- 1, 99.9)     0-14   
 426 A Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 1-11, 70.2)    16- 5   
 427 H Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-13, 65.3)    17- 2   
 501 H Forest Park            VA    Card    (10- 5, 88.9)    12- 5   
 503 A T.C. Williams          VA    Patriot ( 9- 6, 86.1)    16- 3   
 507 H Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-13, 65.3)    19- 1   
 509 N Edison                 VA    Nationl ( 6-10, 79.4)    14- 2   
 511 N Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 7- 9, 80.3)    16- 3   
 515 H McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 5-11, 85.1)    11- 6   
 517 H Westfield              VA    Concord (15- 6, 95.4)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H McLean                 16- 5      11     7    +      2.03
   317 H Mount St Joseph         3-13     -10     3          n/a  
   323 H Herndon                10- 4       6     7          -1.14
   326 H Washington-Lee         11- 2       9    15          -1.00
   329 A Edison                 17- 4      13    12           0.00
   413 H Mount Vernon           12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   417 A Chantilly               5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.55
   419 A J.E.B. Stuart          13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00
   424 A Georgetown Prep         0-14     -14    -7          n/a  
   426 A Falls Church           16- 5      11    21           0.00
   427 H Wakefield HS           17- 2      15    27           0.00
   501 H Forest Park            12- 5       7     4          n/a  
   503 A T.C. Williams          16- 3      13     5    ++     4.04
   507 H Wakefield HS           19- 1      18    27           0.00
   509 N Edison                 14- 2      12    13           0.00
   511 N Mount Vernon           16- 3      13    12           0.00
   515 H McLean                 11- 6       5     7    -     -2.97
   517 H Westfield               6- 8      -2    -2           0.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Mount St Joseph         3-13     -10     3    ---        
   417 A Chantilly               5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.55
   419 A J.E.B. Stuart          13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00
   424 A Georgetown Prep         0-14     -14    -7    -          
   515 H McLean                 11- 6       5     7    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A T.C. Williams          16- 3      13     5    ++     4.04
   315 H McLean                 16- 5      11     7    +      2.03
   501 H Forest Park            12- 5       7     4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.56 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.01 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/