Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6901779    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H North Haven            CT M          ( 7- 9, 79.1)     7- 4   
 410 A Guilford               CT M          (11- 8, 88.3)     3-11   
 418 A Shelton                CT L          ( 8- 9, 78.8)     4- 8   
 419 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (19- 3, 98.6)     2-15   
 421 A Conard-West Hartford   CT M          (13- 7, 88.3)     2- 9   
 424 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-10, 81.6)    12-13   
 426 A Northwest Catholic     CT S          (14- 5, 86.9)     6- 8   
 501 A West Haven             CT L          ( 6-10, 74.0)    12-10   
 503 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          ( 7-11, 87.7)     6-15   
 505 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 5-11, 75.7)    14- 7   
 508 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 5-11, 74.0)    17- 7   
 510 A Branford               CT M          (19- 4, 96.1)     2-18   
 511 A Newington              CT L          ( 3-13, 71.1)    16- 6   
 515 H Cheshire HS            CT L          (15- 5, 93.2)     3-15   
 521 A Amity Regional         CT L          (14- 5, 91.1)     5-12   
 522 A Simsbury               CT L          (16- 5, 92.2)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H North Haven             7- 4       3     1           1.94
   410 A Guilford                3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   418 A Shelton                 4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.13
   419 H Fairfield Prep          2-15     -13   -18           0.00
   421 A Conard-West Hartford    2- 9      -7   -10    +      3.00
   424 H Hamden                 12-13      -1    -1           0.50
   426 A Northwest Catholic      6- 8      -2    -8    +++    6.94
   501 A West Haven             12-10       2     3          -1.96
   503 H Daniel Hand-Madison     6-15      -9    -7          -1.46
   505 H Fitch-Groton           14- 7       7     4    +      2.57
   508 H Notre Dame-West Haven  17- 7      10     6    +      3.88
   510 A Branford                2-18     -16   -18           0.00
   511 A Newington              16- 6      10     6    +      3.19
   515 H Cheshire HS             3-15     -12   -13           0.00
   521 A Amity Regional          5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
   522 A Simsbury                3- 9      -6   -14    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Shelton                 4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Northwest Catholic      6- 8      -2    -8    +++    6.94
   522 A Simsbury                3- 9      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   410 A Guilford                3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   421 A Conard-West Hartford    2- 9      -7   -10    +      3.00
   505 H Fitch-Groton           14- 7       7     4    +      2.57
   508 H Notre Dame-West Haven  17- 7      10     6    +      3.88
   511 A Newington              16- 6      10     6    +      3.19
   521 A Amity Regional          5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.03 Local Power Rank...........    42
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.38 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    72
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/