Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Edgar Lobley          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6124191    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 N Upper St Clair         PA    1DSOUTH ( 5- 9, 89.8)     9- 7   
 324 A Downingtown West       PA    Suburb  (16- 6, 94.4)     3-15   
 327 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 1-12, 70.7)    10- 1   
 329 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL04    ( 1-15, 71.6)    16- 4   
 331 A Parkland               PA    PVLL-LV (11- 5, 87.5)    13- 9   
 403 A Red Lion               PA    York 1  ( 8-10, 79.6)    18- 9   
 405 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 77.2)    13- 2   
 410 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (14- 8, 85.9)    13- 2   
 412 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (10- 9, 82.3)    12- 6   
 414 H Cocalico               PA    LL04    (15- 5, 84.8)    14- 9   
 417 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 4, 91.6)     9-10  o
 419 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (18- 6, 94.1)     2- 7   
 421 H South-Western          PA    York 1  (10- 8, 84.0)    12- 1   
 424 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    (12-11, 85.5)    10- 9   
 426 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 74.5)    14- 5   
 428 H Susquehannock          PA    York 1  (16- 0, 94.0)    11-13   
 501 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 7-12, 78.1)    12- 4   
 503 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (26- 1, 99.9)     7-16   
 508 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   (11- 6, 85.4)    19- 7   
 510 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (12- 6, 86.4)     6- 3   
 514 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (14- 8, 85.9)    12- 6   
 517 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (18- 6, 94.1)     5-12   
 522 A Red Lion               PA    York 1  ( 8-10, 79.6)     7- 5   
 525 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (13- 5, 89.2)     4- 3   
 530 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 4, 91.6)     8- 5   
 602 N Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (26- 1, 99.9)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 N Upper St Clair          9- 7       2     1          n/a  
   324 A Downingtown West        3-15     -12    -4          n/a  
   327 H Elizabethtown          10- 1       9    21          -1.00
   329 A Lancaster Cou Day      16- 4      12    18           0.00
   331 A Parkland               13- 9       4     2          n/a  
   403 A Red Lion               18- 9       9    10          -1.00
   405 H Central Dauphin        13- 2      11    14           0.00
   410 H Lampeter-Strasburg     13- 2      11     6    +      3.98
   412 A Penn Manor             12- 6       6     7          -1.63
   414 H Cocalico               14- 9       5     7    -     -2.14
   417 A Cumberland Valley       9-10  o   -1    -1           0.74
   419 H Hempfield               2- 7      -5    -2    -     -2.89
   421 H South-Western          12- 1      11     7    +      2.02
   424 H Conestoga Valley       10- 9       1     6    --    -5.46
   426 H Central Dauphin East   14- 5       9    17          -1.00
   428 H Susquehannock          11-13      -2    -2           0.02
   501 A Ephrata                12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   503 A Manheim Township        7-16      -9   -10           1.00
   508 A Lower Dauphin          19- 7      12     4    ++     5.50
   510 H Hershey                 6- 3       3     5    -     -2.49
   514 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 6       6     6          -0.02
   517 A Hempfield               5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.83
   522 A Red Lion                7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   525 A Carlisle                4- 3       1     0           0.31
   530 A Cumberland Valley       8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.74
   602 N Manheim Township        7-16      -9    -8          -0.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Red Lion                7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   324 A Downingtown West        3-15     -12    -4    --         
   424 H Conestoga Valley       10- 9       1     6    --    -5.46
   414 H Cocalico               14- 9       5     7    -     -2.14
   419 H Hempfield               2- 7      -5    -2    -     -2.89
   501 A Ephrata                12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   510 H Hershey                 6- 3       3     5    -     -2.49
   517 A Hempfield               5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Lower Dauphin          19- 7      12     4    ++     5.50
   530 A Cumberland Valley       8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.74
   410 H Lampeter-Strasburg     13- 2      11     6    +      3.98
   421 H South-Western          12- 1      11     7    +      2.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.91 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.74 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.210.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/