Region = VA 1  VIP              
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   Mike Caravana         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.3057098    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  ( 7- 9, 87.2)     8- 2   
 318 A Forsyth Cou Day        NC    Prvate  ( 9-10, 88.5)    13- 2   
 323 A Woodbridge             VA    Card    ( 3-12, 77.8)    14- 1   
 327 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 5-12, 79.9)     4- 6   
 331 A Christchurch           VA 2  VIC     ( 6- 8, 89.2)    13- 2   
 403 A Trinity Episcopal      VA 3  Indep   ( 6-11, 87.3)    15- 1   
 410 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 1-10, 80.3)    15- 3   
 414 A Norfolk Academy        VA 1  Tidewtr (22- 2, 99.9)     3-15   
 417 H Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 5-10, 86.3)    11- 0   
 420 H Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     (14- 4, 94.1)     6- 7   
 424 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (13- 5, 97.6)     6- 4   
 501 A Fork Union Mil Academy VA 2  Tidewtr ( 4-10, 85.0)    12- 4   
 503 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 9-10, 87.0)     6-14   
 504 H St Anne's-Belfield     VA 1  VIP     (14- 5, 94.1)     7-11   
 508 A Potomac School         DC    MAC     ( 5-11, 80.6)     9- 3   
 512 H St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     ( 6-10, 86.0)     9- 2   
 515 A Norfolk Academy        VA 1  Tidewtr (22- 2, 99.9)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Durham Academy          8- 2       6     3          n/a  
   318 A Forsyth Cou Day        13- 2      11     1          n/a  
   323 A Woodbridge             14- 1      13    13          n/a  
   327 H Episcopal HS            4- 6      -2    12          n/a  
   331 A Christchurch           13- 2      11     1          n/a  
   403 A Trinity Episcopal      15- 1      14     3          n/a  
   410 A Charlottesville        15- 3      12    10          n/a  
   414 A Norfolk Academy         3-15     -12    -8          -1.14
   417 H Monticello             11- 0      11     6          n/a  
   420 H Collegiate School       6- 7      -1    -2           1.18
   424 H Western Albemarle       6- 4       2    -5          n/a  
   501 A Fork Union Mil Academy 12- 4       8     5          n/a  
   503 A Bishop O'Connell        6-14      -8     3          n/a  
   504 H St Anne's-Belfield      7-11      -4    -2          -1.90
   508 A Potomac School          9- 3       6     9          n/a  
   512 H St Christopher's        9- 2       7     6           0.99
   515 A Norfolk Academy         5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Episcopal HS            4- 6      -2    12    ---        
   503 A Bishop O'Connell        6-14      -8     3    ---        
   508 A Potomac School          9- 3       6     9    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Forsyth Cou Day        13- 2      11     1    +++        
   331 A Christchurch           13- 2      11     1    +++        
   403 A Trinity Episcopal      15- 1      14     3    +++        
   424 H Western Albemarle       6- 4       2    -5    +++        
   515 A Norfolk Academy         5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.86
   317 A Durham Academy          8- 2       6     3    +          
   417 H Monticello             11- 0      11     6    +          
   501 A Fork Union Mil Academy 12- 4       8     5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.50 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.00 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/