Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Spartans             Coach  =   Matt Smart            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.9823761    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (11- 9, 89.5)    12- 5   
 324 A Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (16- 7, 95.7)     1-12   
 331 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (10-10, 92.1)     7- 5   
 404 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 4, 96.2)     4- 7   
 419 A Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 70.9)    16- 1   
 423 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.1)     9- 2   
 425 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 86.9)    10- 6   
 427 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (16- 3, 99.7)     9-17   
 501 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 66.6)    19- 0   
 504 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 89.4)     6- 9   
 505 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 86.8)     8- 6   
 507 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.2)    15- 6   
 509 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     4-17   
 511 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 80.4)    12- 4   
 515 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.1)     7-11   
 517 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 92.9)     1- 3   
 522 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 87.1)    16- 9   
 525 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 89.4)    10- 5   
 530 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     2-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Sweet Home             12- 5       7     1    ++     5.73
   324 A Penn Yan                1-12     -11    -4          n/a  
   331 A Amherst                 7- 5       2    -1    +      3.34
   404 H Hamburg                 4- 7      -3    -3           0.87
   419 A Jamestown              16- 1      15    19           0.00
   423 H West Seneca West        9- 2       7     8          -1.27
   425 H Lancaster              10- 6       4     5          -1.42
   427 H Niagara Wheatfield      9-17      -8    -7          -0.64
   501 H North Tonawanda        19- 0      19    25           0.00
   504 A Clarence                6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.34
   505 H Grand Island            8- 6       2     5    -     -3.55
   507 A Lockport               15- 6       9    10          -1.00
   509 A Orchard Park            4-17     -13    -9          -0.87
   511 A Williamsville South    12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   515 A Frontier                7-11      -4    -5           1.31
   517 A West Seneca East        1- 3      -2    -2           0.13
   522 A Williamsville East     16- 9       7     3    +      3.31
   525 A Clarence               10- 5       5     1    +      3.66
   530 A Orchard Park            2-13     -11    -9          -0.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Penn Yan                1-12     -11    -4    --         
   504 A Clarence                6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.34
   505 H Grand Island            8- 6       2     5    -     -3.55
   511 A Williamsville South    12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Sweet Home             12- 5       7     1    ++     5.73
   331 A Amherst                 7- 5       2    -1    +      3.34
   522 A Williamsville East     16- 9       7     3    +      3.31
   525 A Clarence               10- 5       5     1    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.57 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.36 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/