Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3950119    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (16- 3, 94.6)     8- 5   
 329 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 84.8)     9- 3   
 402 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (18- 3, 94.0)     7- 8   
 404 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 66.6)    13- 0   
 416 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 89.4)     8- 5   
 419 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (11- 9, 89.5)     5- 4  o
 421 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.1)     5- 8   
 423 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 72.0)    16- 1   
 425 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 86.8)    10-11   
 427 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 4, 96.2)     4-16   
 430 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 86.9)     7- 4   
 501 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 92.9)     3- 6   
 504 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.2)     9- 7   
 507 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (10-10, 92.1)     3-13   
 511 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.1)     4- 8   
 515 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-13, 82.4)    13-11   
 517 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 80.4)     3- 5   
 522 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.6)     9-16   
 525 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (10-10, 92.1)     6-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H St Francis              8- 5       3    -6    +++    9.69
   329 H Canisius                9- 3       6     3    +      2.90
   402 A East Aurora             7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.67
   404 H North Tonawanda        13- 0      13    21           0.00
   416 H Clarence                8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.56
   419 A Sweet Home              5- 4  o    1    -3    ++     4.22
   421 A West Seneca West        5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.18
   423 H Lake Shore Central     16- 1      15    15           0.00
   425 H Grand Island           10-11      -1     1    -     -2.06
   427 A Hamburg                 4-16     -12    -9          -0.04
   430 A Lancaster               7- 4       3     0    +      3.67
   501 A West Seneca East        3- 6      -3    -6    +      3.62
   504 A Lockport                9- 7       2     6    --    -4.12
   507 H Amherst                 3-13     -10    -4    --    -5.76
   511 H Frontier                4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.21
   515 A Iroquois               13-11       2     3          -1.85
   517 A Williamsville South     3- 5      -2     5    ---   -7.85
   522 H Williamsville North     9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.31
   525 A Amherst                 6-12      -6    -5          -0.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Williamsville South     3- 5      -2     5    ---   -7.85
   421 A West Seneca West        5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.18
   504 A Lockport                9- 7       2     6    --    -4.12
   507 H Amherst                 3-13     -10    -4    --    -5.76
   425 H Grand Island           10-11      -1     1    -     -2.06
   522 H Williamsville North     9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H St Francis              8- 5       3    -6    +++    9.69
   402 A East Aurora             7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.67
   416 H Clarence                8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.56
   419 A Sweet Home              5- 4  o    1    -3    ++     4.22
   511 H Frontier                4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.21
   329 H Canisius                9- 3       6     3    +      2.90
   430 A Lancaster               7- 4       3     0    +      3.67
   501 A West Seneca East        3- 6      -3    -6    +      3.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.07 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.61 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/