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Region = NY B Sec 6 Nickname = Y Flames Coach = Ed GreenwayGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.3950119 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 328 H St Francis NY P Sec 6 (16- 3, 94.6) 8- 5 329 H Canisius NY P Sec 6 ( 5-13, 84.8) 9- 3 402 A East Aurora NY C Sec 6 (18- 3, 94.0) 7- 8 404 H North Tonawanda NY A Sec 6 ( 0-14, 66.6) 13- 0 416 H Clarence NY A Sec 6 (11- 8, 89.4) 8- 5 419 A Sweet Home NY B Sec 6 (11- 9, 89.5) 5- 4 o 421 A West Seneca West NY A Sec 6 ( 6-11, 84.1) 5- 8 423 H Lake Shore Central NY B Sec 6 ( 0-15, 72.0) 16- 1 425 H Grand Island NY B Sec 6 ( 7-10, 86.8) 10-11 427 A Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (17- 4, 96.2) 4-16 430 A Lancaster NY A Sec 6 ( 7- 9, 86.9) 7- 4 501 A West Seneca East NY B Sec 6 (13- 5, 92.9) 3- 6 504 A Lockport NY A Sec 6 ( 6-12, 80.2) 9- 7 507 H Amherst NY B Sec 6 (10-10, 92.1) 3-13 511 H Frontier NY A Sec 6 (14- 5, 96.1) 4- 8 515 A Iroquois NY B Sec 6 ( 6-13, 82.4) 13-11 517 A Williamsville South NY B Sec 6 ( 4-13, 80.4) 3- 5 522 H Williamsville North NY A Sec 6 (11- 8, 91.6) 9-16 525 A Amherst NY B Sec 6 (10-10, 92.1) 6-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H St Francis 8- 5 3 -6 +++ 9.69 329 H Canisius 9- 3 6 3 + 2.90 402 A East Aurora 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.67 404 H North Tonawanda 13- 0 13 21 0.00 416 H Clarence 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.56 419 A Sweet Home 5- 4 o 1 -3 ++ 4.22 421 A West Seneca West 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.18 423 H Lake Shore Central 16- 1 15 15 0.00 425 H Grand Island 10-11 -1 1 - -2.06 427 A Hamburg 4-16 -12 -9 -0.04 430 A Lancaster 7- 4 3 0 + 3.67 501 A West Seneca East 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.62 504 A Lockport 9- 7 2 6 -- -4.12 507 H Amherst 3-13 -10 -4 -- -5.76 511 H Frontier 4- 8 -4 -8 ++ 4.21 515 A Iroquois 13-11 2 3 -1.85 517 A Williamsville South 3- 5 -2 5 --- -7.85 522 H Williamsville North 9-16 -7 -3 - -3.31 525 A Amherst 6-12 -6 -5 -0.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 A Williamsville South 3- 5 -2 5 --- -7.85 421 A West Seneca West 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.18 504 A Lockport 9- 7 2 6 -- -4.12 507 H Amherst 3-13 -10 -4 -- -5.76 425 H Grand Island 10-11 -1 1 - -2.06 522 H Williamsville North 9-16 -7 -3 - -3.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H St Francis 8- 5 3 -6 +++ 9.69 402 A East Aurora 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.67 416 H Clarence 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.56 419 A Sweet Home 5- 4 o 1 -3 ++ 4.22 511 H Frontier 4- 8 -4 -8 ++ 4.21 329 H Canisius 9- 3 6 3 + 2.90 430 A Lancaster 7- 4 3 0 + 3.67 501 A West Seneca East 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.62/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.07 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 71.61 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 15 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 27 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0