Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Matt Petz             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.4756317    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 94.3)    13-12 4o
 331 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.5)    14- 7   
 403 N Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (10-10, 92.1)    10- 4   
 410 A Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (16- 7, 95.7)     9- 8   
 412 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 4, 96.2)    14- 8   
 417 N Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (17- 3, 98.8)     7- 9   
 421 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)    10- 6   
 426 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.2)    13- 3   
 428 N Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.2)    18- 9   
 501 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-10, 88.7)     9- 7   
 503 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 94.3)    10- 8   
 505 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     6- 5   
 510 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.5)    13- 5   
 512 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     5- 7   
 515 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.2)    11-10   
 517 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-10, 88.7)    10- 4   
 525 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.2)    13- 4   
 530 N Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.2)    10- 4   
 601 N Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     8-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 N Fairport               13-12 4o    1     5    --    -4.47
   331 N Rush-Henrietta         14- 7       7     8          -1.29
   403 N Amherst                10- 4       6     7          n/a  
   410 A Penn Yan                9- 8       1     3    -     -2.29
   412 A Hamburg                14- 8       6     2          n/a  
   417 N Canandaigua             7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.02
   421 N Orchard Park           10- 6       4     0          n/a  
   426 H Penfield               13- 3      10     9           0.58
   428 N Webster Thomas         18- 9       9     5    +      3.39
   501 A Pittsford               9- 7       2    10    ---   -8.00
   503 H Fairport               10- 8       2     6    --    -4.27
   505 H Irondequoit             6- 5       1     0           0.28
   510 H Rush-Henrietta         13- 5       8     9          -1.09
   512 A Irondequoit             5- 7      -2     0          -1.12
   515 A Penfield               11-10       1     7    ---   -6.83
   517 H Pittsford              10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   525 H Penfield               13- 4       9     9          -0.42
   530 N Webster Thomas         10- 4       6     5           0.39
   601 N Irondequoit             8-14      -6     0    --    -5.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Pittsford               9- 7       2    10    ---   -8.00
   515 A Penfield               11-10       1     7    ---   -6.83
   324 N Fairport               13-12 4o    1     5    --    -4.47
   503 H Fairport               10- 8       2     6    --    -4.27
   517 H Pittsford              10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   601 N Irondequoit             8-14      -6     0    --    -5.92
   410 A Penn Yan                9- 8       1     3    -     -2.29
   417 N Canandaigua             7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 N Orchard Park           10- 6       4     0    ++         
   412 A Hamburg                14- 8       6     2    +          
   428 N Webster Thomas         18- 9       9     5    +      3.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.82 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.83 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   28.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.245.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/