Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Hoppey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7028198    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   (17- 3, 98.7)     9-10   
 407 A Garden City            NY B  Sec 8   (18- 3, 99.9)     9-15   
 410 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 9, 79.6)    14- 9   
 413 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 80.1)    10- 4   
 416 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 74.6)    16- 1   
 418 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.2)    14- 5   
 420 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 83.6)    12- 6   
 424 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 93.5)    13-14  o
 426 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 81.4)    13- 2   
 428 A Yorktown               NY A  Sec 1   (12-10, 91.5)     7- 2   
 502 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     5-11   
 504 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 78.2)    13- 5   
 508 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 92.6)    14-11   
 510 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.3)    11- 6   
 514 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.2)    13- 3   
 516 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 83.0)    12- 4   
 518 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 80.7)    16- 5   
 524 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 83.6)     9- 5   
 529 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 93.5)    14- 4   
 602 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     3-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Syosset                 9-10      -1    -4          n/a  
   407 A Garden City             9-15      -6    -7          n/a  
   410 A William Floyd          14- 9       5    12    --    -5.00
   413 H Commack                10- 4       6    13    --    -4.00
   416 H Middle Country         16- 1      15    18           0.00
   418 A Lindenhurst            14- 5       9     7           1.07
   420 A Bay Shore              12- 6       6     8    -     -2.50
   424 A Smithtown West         13-14  o   -1    -1           0.37
   426 H Patchogue-Medford      13- 2      11    12           0.00
   428 A Yorktown                7- 2       5     0          n/a  
   502 H West Islip              5-11      -6    -6           0.42
   504 A West Babylon           13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   508 H Smithtown East         14-11       3     0    +      2.09
   510 A Sachem North           11- 6       5     7    -     -2.85
   514 H Sachem East            13- 3      10     9           0.71
   516 H Half Hollow Hills East 12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   518 A Northport              16- 5      11    11           0.00
   524 H Bay Shore               9- 5       4     9    --    -5.86
   529 H Smithtown West         14- 4      10     0    +++   10.01
   602 N West Islip              3-10      -7    -7           0.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A William Floyd          14- 9       5    12    --    -5.00
   413 H Commack                10- 4       6    13    --    -4.00
   524 H Bay Shore               9- 5       4     9    --    -5.86
   420 A Bay Shore              12- 6       6     8    -     -2.50
   504 A West Babylon           13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   510 A Sachem North           11- 6       5     7    -     -2.85
   516 H Half Hollow Hills East 12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 H Smithtown West         14- 4      10     0    +++   10.01
   428 A Yorktown                7- 2       5     0    ++         
   327 H Syosset                 9-10      -1    -4    +          
   508 H Smithtown East         14-11       3     0    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.80 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.41 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/