Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 3                   
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   John Salmon           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9597321    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Lowell                 MA 1          (16- 6, 90.1)     5-14   
 409 A Andover HS             MA 1          (16- 5, 92.5)     2- 9   
 410 H Haverhill              MA 1          (11- 8, 83.8)     6- 5   
 413 H Dracut                 MA 2          ( 2-14, 73.8)     9- 7   
 417 H Groton-Dunstable       MA 2          (13- 7, 91.0)     2-10   
 419 A Bedford                MA 3          ( 3-13, 77.0)     7- 8   
 421 A Groton-Dunstable       MA 2          (13- 7, 91.0)     8- 9   
 425 A Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 9-10, 83.0)     8-16   
 501 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (13-10, 88.6)     7-13   
 502 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 9-11, 80.1)     8- 7   
 504 A Lowell                 MA 1          (16- 6, 90.1)     6-16   
 507 A Haverhill              MA 1          (11- 8, 83.8)     8-10   
 509 A Dracut                 MA 2          ( 2-14, 73.8)    18- 6   
 511 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 9-11, 80.1)     4- 6   
 514 H Billerica              MA 1          (18- 3, 97.6)     4-18   
 520 H Arlington Catholic     MA 3          (10-10, 77.4)    15-11   
 522 A Bedford                MA 3          ( 3-13, 77.0)    14- 9   
 523 H Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 9-10, 83.0)    10-11 3o
 529 A Lynnfield              MA 3          ( 7- 6, 77.4)     8- 7  o
 531 A Scituate               MA 3          (16- 4, 95.5)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Lowell                  5-14      -9   -11           1.00
   409 A Andover HS              2- 9      -7   -13    +      3.00
   410 H Haverhill               6- 5       1    -3    ++     4.17
   413 H Dracut                  9- 7       2     6    --    -4.76
   417 H Groton-Dunstable        2-10      -8   -10          n/a  
   419 A Bedford                 7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.73
   421 A Groton-Dunstable        8- 9      -1   -11          n/a  
   425 A Central Catholic        8-16      -8    -4    -     -3.77
   501 H Chelmsford              7-13      -6    -8    +      2.01
   502 A Tewksbury Memorial      8- 7       1    -1    +      2.40
   504 A Lowell                  6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   507 A Haverhill               8-10      -2    -5    +      3.05
   509 A Dracut                 18- 6      12     4    ++     5.11
   511 H Tewksbury Memorial      4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.47
   514 H Billerica               4-18     -14   -16           0.00
   520 H Arlington Catholic     15-11       4     3           0.84
   522 A Bedford                14- 9       5     1    +      3.27
   523 H Central Catholic       10-11 3o   -1    -2           1.36
   529 A Lynnfield               8- 7  o    1     1          -0.29
   531 A Scituate                6-17     -11   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Dracut                  9- 7       2     6    --    -4.76
   419 A Bedford                 7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.73
   425 A Central Catholic        8-16      -8    -4    -     -3.77
   511 H Tewksbury Memorial      4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Groton-Dunstable        8- 9      -1   -11    +++        
   410 H Haverhill               6- 5       1    -3    ++     4.17
   509 A Dracut                 18- 6      12     4    ++     5.11
   409 A Andover HS              2- 9      -7   -13    +      3.00
   417 H Groton-Dunstable        2-10      -8   -10    +          
   501 H Chelmsford              7-13      -6    -8    +      2.01
   502 A Tewksbury Memorial      8- 7       1    -1    +      2.40
   507 A Haverhill               8-10      -2    -5    +      3.05
   522 A Bedford                14- 9       5     1    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.67 Local Power Rank...........    74
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.18 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    72
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   116
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    77
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/