Region = VA 3  Indep            
   Nickname = A Tempest              Coach  =   Scott Niklason        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.8866882    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 78.2)     9- 4   
 330 A Trinity Christian      VA 3  Indep   ( 2-11, 78.2)     9- 1   
 403 A Seton School           VA 3  Delaney (12- 4, 99.8)    12- 4   
 404 H Maret                  DC    MAC     ( 3- 9, 78.4)     7- 5   
 418 H Fredericksburg Academy VA 3  Delaney ( 5- 9, 89.3)    10- 5   
 420 A Wakefield School       VA 2  Delaney (11- 7, 95.8)     7-12   
 421 N Seton School           VA 3  Delaney (12- 4, 99.8)     4- 9   
 426 H Seton School           VA 3  Delaney (12- 4, 99.8)     7- 6   
 428 A Miller School          VA 3  VIC     ( 4- 8, 89.6)     5- 4  o
 428 N Hargrave Military Acad VA 3  VIC     ( 1- 9, 85.6)     8- 4   
 502 A Georgetown Day         DC    MAC     ( 4- 9, 76.3)     7- 9   
 509 A McLean School          MD    Indep   ( 9- 3, 83.6)    17- 7   
 511 H Trinity Christian      VA 3  Indep   ( 2-11, 78.2)    13- 2   
 516 N Seton School           VA 3  Delaney (12- 4, 99.8)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A J.E.B. Stuart           9- 4       5    18          n/a  
   330 A Trinity Christian       9- 1       8    18    -     -2.00
   403 A Seton School           12- 4       8    -3    +++   11.12
   404 H Maret                   7- 5       2    19          n/a  
   418 H Fredericksburg Academy 10- 5       5     7    -     -2.55
   420 A Wakefield School        7-12      -5     0          n/a  
   421 N Seton School            4- 9      -5    -3          -1.94
   426 H Seton School            7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.00
   428 A Miller School           5- 4  o    1     7    ---   -6.13
   428 N Hargrave Military Acad  8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   502 A Georgetown Day          7- 9      -2    19          n/a  
   509 A McLean School          17- 7      10    12          n/a  
   511 H Trinity Christian      13- 2      11    18           0.00
   516 N Seton School            5- 7      -2    -3           1.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Maret                   7- 5       2    19    ---        
   428 A Miller School           5- 4  o    1     7    ---   -6.13
   428 N Hargrave Military Acad  8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   502 A Georgetown Day          7- 9      -2    19    ---        
   328 A J.E.B. Stuart           9- 4       5    18    --         
   420 A Wakefield School        7-12      -5     0    --         
   330 A Trinity Christian       9- 1       8    18    -     -2.00
   418 H Fredericksburg Academy 10- 5       5     7    -     -2.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Seton School           12- 4       8    -3    +++   11.12
   426 H Seton School            7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.76 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.18 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/