Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Tigers               Coach  =   Mike Burke            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2376251    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 91.2)     5-15   
 417 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.1)     9- 4   
 419 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 8, 86.9)     9-13   
 421 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 94.3)     3-10   
 425 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 81.0)    11- 8   
 427 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (10-10, 92.1)    10- 8   
 430 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 8, 86.9)    13-10   
 502 A St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (16- 3, 94.6)     5-12   
 508 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 84.8)    11- 7   
 510 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 81.0)    11- 4   
 512 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     6-14   
 514 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.6)     7- 8  o
 516 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 84.8)     9- 7   
 519 H St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (16- 3, 94.6)     6- 7   
 521 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (16- 3, 99.7)     8-15   
 523 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 86.8)     3- 7   
 526 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.6)    13- 7   
 529 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 84.8)     9- 8   
 531 N St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (16- 3, 94.6)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Penfield                5-15     -10    -3          n/a  
   417 H West Seneca West        9- 4       5     5          -0.01
   419 H McQuaid Jesuit          9-13      -4     2          n/a  
   421 H Fairport                3-10      -7    -5          n/a  
   425 A Nichols                11- 8       3     6    -     -3.54
   427 A Amherst                10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.60
   430 A McQuaid Jesuit         13-10       3     0          n/a  
   502 A St Francis              5-12      -7    -7           0.05
   508 A Canisius               11- 7       4     2           1.26
   510 H Nichols                11- 4       7     8          -1.14
   512 H Orchard Park            6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   514 A St Joseph Collegiate    7- 8  o   -1     2    -     -3.92
   516 H Canisius                9- 7       2     4    -     -2.34
   519 H St Francis              6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.45
   521 A Niagara Wheatfield      8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   523 A Grand Island            3- 7      -4     0    --    -4.69
   526 H St Joseph Collegiate   13- 7       6     4           1.48
   529 H Canisius                9- 8       1     4    -     -3.34
   531 N St Francis              4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Penfield                5-15     -10    -3    ---        
   419 H McQuaid Jesuit          9-13      -4     2    ---        
   523 A Grand Island            3- 7      -4     0    --    -4.69
   425 A Nichols                11- 8       3     6    -     -3.54
   514 A St Joseph Collegiate    7- 8  o   -1     2    -     -3.92
   516 H Canisius                9- 7       2     4    -     -2.34
   529 H Canisius                9- 8       1     4    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Amherst                10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.60
   519 H St Francis              6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.45
   430 A McQuaid Jesuit         13-10       3     0    +          
   512 H Orchard Park            6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   521 A Niagara Wheatfield      8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   531 N St Francis              4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.31 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.33 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/