Region = MD 43 North            
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   Dave Hawkins          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.1617126    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Middletown             MD 21 West    (10- 3, 85.7)    10-13   
 330 A Walkersville           MD 32 West    (12- 2, 92.4)     8-19   
 403 H Smithsburg             MD 21 West    ( 8- 7, 79.4)    11-14   
 407 N Frederick              MD 21 West    ( 5-10, 76.1)     9-10   
 407 N Tuscarora              MD 32 West    ( 3-12, 75.4)     8- 7   
 410 A Century                MD 21 West    (14- 3, 92.4)    11-21   
 412 A Catoctin               MD 21 West    ( 6- 6, 77.9)    15-12   
 417 H North Carroll          MD 43 North   ( 7- 9, 86.3)     4-17   
 419 A Urbana                 MD 32 West    (10- 5, 90.4)     8-15   
 421 H North Hagerstown       MD 21 West    ( 2-13, 61.6)    22- 2   
 424 H Westminster            MD 43 North   (12- 6, 89.2)     8-15   
 427 A Tuscarora              MD 32 West    ( 3-12, 75.4)    13-10   
 501 A Linganore              MD 32 West    ( 5- 7, 79.9)    11-17   
 503 H Frederick              MD 21 West    ( 5-10, 76.1)    19- 5   
 510 A North Carroll          MD 43 North   ( 7- 9, 86.3)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Middletown             10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.25
   330 A Walkersville            8-19     -11   -14           0.00
   403 H Smithsburg             11-14      -3     0    -     -2.07
   407 N Frederick               9-10      -1     1    -     -2.87
   407 N Tuscarora               8- 7       1     2          -1.61
   410 A Century                11-21     -10   -14           0.00
   412 A Catoctin               15-12       3     0    +      3.45
   417 H North Carroll           4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.22
   419 A Urbana                  8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   421 H North Hagerstown       22- 2      20    16           0.00
   424 H Westminster             8-15      -7   -10    +      3.00
   427 A Tuscarora              13-10       3     2           0.89
   501 A Linganore              11-17      -6    -2    -     -3.54
   503 H Frederick              19- 5      14     2    +++    7.63
   510 A North Carroll           6-17     -11    -8          -1.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Smithsburg             11-14      -3     0    -     -2.07
   407 N Frederick               9-10      -1     1    -     -2.87
   417 H North Carroll           4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.22
   501 A Linganore              11-17      -6    -2    -     -3.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Frederick              19- 5      14     2    +++    7.63
   327 H Middletown             10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.25
   412 A Catoctin               15-12       3     0    +      3.45
   419 A Urbana                  8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   424 H Westminster             8-15      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.98 Local Power Rank...........    71
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.30 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    94
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   125
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   107
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/