Region = OH 1  Reg 4            
   Nickname = H Aves                 Coach  =   Tom Nugent            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5483856    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Glenbrook North        IL    CenSub  ( 6-14, 85.8)    14- 6   
 327 A Pickerington           OH 4  North   (17- 4, 99.9)    11-12   
 328 H Mason                  OH 1  Reg 4   ( 2-12, 75.3)    16- 9   
 405 H Hilliard Davidson      OH 1  Reg 2   ( 0-15, 74.1)     9- 2   
 407 H Cincinnati Cou Day     OH 2  Reg 4   (13- 9, 93.4)     9- 8   
 414 H Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg 4   (15- 6, 94.0)     8-13   
 419 H Turpin                 OH 2  Reg 4   (10- 7, 90.5)    15-10   
 421 A Carmel                 IN    Indep   (13- 5, 96.8)     4- 5   
 425 A Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   (16- 5, 94.2)     4-10   
 427 H Lakota West            OH 1  Reg 4   (10- 7, 87.3)     5- 6   
 503 H Summit Country Day     OH 2  Reg 4   ( 2-13, 81.9)    12- 7   
 505 A Hilliard Darby         OH 1  Reg 1   ( 2-15, 78.1)    16- 9   
 507 A Milford                OH 4  South   (16- 6, 93.2)    11-10   
 511 A Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1  Reg 4   (11- 6, 92.6)     6- 7   
 512 A Lakota West            OH 1  Reg 4   (10- 7, 87.3)     7-14   
 516 H Mariemont              OH 2  Reg 4   (14- 4, 99.9)     6- 7   
 519 N Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1          (18- 3, 93.5)     6-14   
 522 A Lakota West            OH 1  Reg 4   (10- 7, 87.3)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Glenbrook North        14- 6       8     1          n/a  
   327 A Pickerington           11-12      -1   -14          n/a  
   328 H Mason                  16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   405 H Hilliard Davidson       9- 2       7    12    -     -3.00
   407 H Cincinnati Cou Day      9- 8       1    -5          n/a  
   414 H Cincinnati St Xavier    8-13      -5    -7    +      2.34
   419 H Turpin                 15-10       5    -2          n/a  
   421 A Carmel                  4- 5      -1   -11          n/a  
   425 A Archbishop Moeller      4-10      -6    -8    +      2.11
   427 H Lakota West             5- 6      -1     0          -0.34
   503 H Summit Country Day     12- 7       5     5          n/a  
   505 A Hilliard Darby         16- 9       7     8          -1.02
   507 A Milford                11-10       1    -7          n/a  
   511 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.47
   512 A Lakota West             7-14      -7    -1    --    -5.84
   516 H Mariemont               6- 7      -1   -12          n/a  
   519 N Ann Arbor Pioneer       6-14      -8    -7          n/a  
   522 A Lakota West             7- 9      -2    -1          -0.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Lakota West             7-14      -7    -1    --    -5.84
   328 H Mason                  16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   405 H Hilliard Davidson       9- 2       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Glenbrook North        14- 6       8     1    +++        
   327 A Pickerington           11-12      -1   -14    +++        
   407 H Cincinnati Cou Day      9- 8       1    -5    +++        
   419 H Turpin                 15-10       5    -2    +++        
   421 A Carmel                  4- 5      -1   -11    +++        
   507 A Milford                11-10       1    -7    +++        
   516 H Mariemont               6- 7      -1   -12    +++        
   511 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.47
   414 H Cincinnati St Xavier    8-13      -5    -7    +      2.34
   425 A Archbishop Moeller      4-10      -6    -8    +      2.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.39 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.08 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.34 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/