Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Josef Knets           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.9347687    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Tolland                CT S          ( 9- 9, 78.1)     4- 7   
 409 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 3-13, 62.7)    17- 2   
 410 A Valley Regional        CT S          ( 7- 8, 73.6)     3- 5   
 413 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          (10- 6, 82.1)    13-21   
 414 A Williams               NE    East-2  ( 8- 5, 83.2)     9-17   
 421 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 3-13, 74.0)     9-13   
 424 A Ledyard                CT M          ( 9- 6, 79.5)    11-10  o
 426 A Norwich Tech           CT S          ( 0-13, 56.7)    13- 4   
 428 H East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 92.2)     6-20   
 501 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (10- 7, 80.3)     6- 9   
 505 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 5-11, 64.9)    18- 5   
 510 H Avon HS                CT S          (12- 8, 84.6)     4-16   
 512 H Suffield HS            CT S          (12- 6, 82.9)     7-16   
 514 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 5-11, 75.7)     5- 4   
 519 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 2-14, 64.6)    10- 6   
 521 A Old Lyme               CT S          (12- 3, 84.8)     5-20   
 523 N Ledyard                CT M          ( 9- 6, 79.5)     9-11   
 531 A Granby                 CT S          ( 8-10, 76.0)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Tolland                 4- 7      -3    -4           1.49
   409 A Wheeler-No Stonington  17- 2      15     8           1.30
   410 A Valley Regional         3- 5      -2    -2           0.17
   413 A Morgan-Clinton         13-21      -8   -10    +      2.00
   414 A Williams                9-17      -8   -11          n/a  
   421 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    9-13      -4     0    -     -3.62
   424 A Ledyard                11-10  o    1    -8    +++    9.10
   426 A Norwich Tech           13- 4       9    14          -1.00
   428 H East Lyme               6-20     -14   -18           0.00
   501 H Norwich Free Academy    6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.71
   505 A Saint Bernard          18- 5      13     6    +      3.53
   510 H Avon HS                 4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   512 H Suffield HS             7-16      -9    -9           0.29
   514 H Fitch-Groton            5- 4       1    -2    +      3.12
   519 A Woodstock Academy      10- 6       4     6    -     -2.79
   521 A Old Lyme                5-20     -15   -13           0.00
   523 N Ledyard                 9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.00
   531 A Granby                  7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    9-13      -4     0    -     -3.62
   519 A Woodstock Academy      10- 6       4     6    -     -2.79
   531 A Granby                  7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Ledyard                11-10  o    1    -8    +++    9.10
   523 N Ledyard                 9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.00
   413 A Morgan-Clinton         13-21      -8   -10    +      2.00
   414 A Williams                9-17      -8   -11    +          
   501 H Norwich Free Academy    6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.71
   505 A Saint Bernard          18- 5      13     6    +      3.53
   514 H Fitch-Groton            5- 4       1    -2    +      3.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.48 Local Power Rank...........    59
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.30 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    59
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/