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Conf = ECIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Bears Coach = Josef KnetsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.9347687 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Tolland CT S ( 9- 9, 78.1) 4- 7 409 A Wheeler-No Stonington CT S ( 3-13, 62.7) 17- 2 410 A Valley Regional CT S ( 7- 8, 73.6) 3- 5 413 A Morgan-Clinton CT S (10- 6, 82.1) 13-21 414 A Williams NE East-2 ( 8- 5, 83.2) 9-17 421 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 3-13, 74.0) 9-13 424 A Ledyard CT M ( 9- 6, 79.5) 11-10 o 426 A Norwich Tech CT S ( 0-13, 56.7) 13- 4 428 H East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 92.2) 6-20 501 H Norwich Free Academy CT L (10- 7, 80.3) 6- 9 505 A Saint Bernard CT S ( 5-11, 64.9) 18- 5 510 H Avon HS CT S (12- 8, 84.6) 4-16 512 H Suffield HS CT S (12- 6, 82.9) 7-16 514 H Fitch-Groton CT M ( 5-11, 75.7) 5- 4 519 A Woodstock Academy CT M ( 2-14, 64.6) 10- 6 521 A Old Lyme CT S (12- 3, 84.8) 5-20 523 N Ledyard CT M ( 9- 6, 79.5) 9-11 531 A Granby CT S ( 8-10, 76.0) 7-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Tolland 4- 7 -3 -4 1.49 409 A Wheeler-No Stonington 17- 2 15 8 1.30 410 A Valley Regional 3- 5 -2 -2 0.17 413 A Morgan-Clinton 13-21 -8 -10 + 2.00 414 A Williams 9-17 -8 -11 n/a 421 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 9-13 -4 0 - -3.62 424 A Ledyard 11-10 o 1 -8 +++ 9.10 426 A Norwich Tech 13- 4 9 14 -1.00 428 H East Lyme 6-20 -14 -18 0.00 501 H Norwich Free Academy 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.71 505 A Saint Bernard 18- 5 13 6 + 3.53 510 H Avon HS 4-16 -12 -11 0.00 512 H Suffield HS 7-16 -9 -9 0.29 514 H Fitch-Groton 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.12 519 A Woodstock Academy 10- 6 4 6 - -2.79 521 A Old Lyme 5-20 -15 -13 0.00 523 N Ledyard 9-11 -2 -7 ++ 5.00 531 A Granby 7-15 -8 -4 - -3.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 9-13 -4 0 - -3.62 519 A Woodstock Academy 10- 6 4 6 - -2.79 531 A Granby 7-15 -8 -4 - -3.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Ledyard 11-10 o 1 -8 +++ 9.10 523 N Ledyard 9-11 -2 -7 ++ 5.00 413 A Morgan-Clinton 13-21 -8 -10 + 2.00 414 A Williams 9-17 -8 -11 + 501 H Norwich Free Academy 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.71 505 A Saint Bernard 18- 5 13 6 + 3.53 514 H Fitch-Groton 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.12/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.48 Local Power Rank........... 59 Local SOS Rating......... 52.30 Local SOS Rank............. 60 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 53 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 59 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 59 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -8.3