Region = NE    ISL              
   Nickname = I Dragons              Coach  =   Bob Larkin            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.4724579    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Pomfret                NE    East-1  (13- 3, 96.1)     4-11   
 407 H The Governor's Academy NE    ISL     (15- 2, 99.9)     3-13   
 411 H Milton Academy         NE    ISL     ( 7- 8, 88.5)     6- 5  o
 414 H Lawrence Academy       NE    ISL     ( 7-10, 84.6)     5- 6 3o
 418 H St Sebastian           NE    ISL     (11- 6, 92.0)     8- 6   
 421 H St Mark's              NE    ISL     ( 4-11, 81.9)     9- 1   
 423 A Portsmouth Abbey       NE    SEast-1 (10- 5, 87.2)     7- 8   
 425 A Roxbury Latin          NE    ISL     ( 0-15, 74.3)    11- 6   
 428 H Brooks School          NE    ISL     (10- 7, 91.3)     9- 7   
 430 A Moses Brown            NE    SEast-1 ( 6- 5, 90.6)     8- 7   
 502 H Noble & Greenough      NE    ISL     (12- 4, 94.4)     9-11   
 505 A Belmont Hill           NE    ISL     (15- 1, 97.8)     5-14   
 509 H Rivers                 NE    ISL     (10- 6, 91.7)     3- 9   
 512 A Groton School          NE    ISL     ( 1-14, 75.5)    13- 4   
 514 H Tabor Academy          NE    East-1  ( 7- 7, 89.7)     5- 4   
 517 A Buckingham, B&N        NE    ISL     ( 3-14, 79.5)    10- 7   
 519 A St Paul's              NE    ISL     ( 5-11, 85.9)     5- 6   
 523 H Thayer Academy         NE    ISL     (11- 6, 90.8)     4- 7   
 526 H Middlesex              NE    ISL     (11- 4, 94.8)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Pomfret                 4-11      -7    -8           1.22
   407 H The Governor's Academy  3-13     -10   -12           0.00
   411 H Milton Academy          6- 5  o    1     0           1.63
   414 H Lawrence Academy        5- 6 3o   -1     3    --    -4.27
   418 H St Sebastian            8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.13
   421 H St Mark's               9- 1       8     5    +      2.06
   423 A Portsmouth Abbey        7- 8      -1    -1           0.13
   425 A Roxbury Latin          11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   428 H Brooks School           9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.40
   430 A Moses Brown             8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.52
   502 H Noble & Greenough       9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.51
   505 A Belmont Hill            5-14      -9   -11           1.00
   509 H Rivers                  3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.18
   512 A Groton School          13- 4       9    10          -1.00
   514 H Tabor Academy           5- 4       1    -1    +      2.77
   517 A Buckingham, B&N        10- 7       3     6    -     -3.65
   519 A St Paul's               5- 6      -1     0          -1.22
   523 H Thayer Academy          4- 7      -3    -2          -0.06
   526 H Middlesex               4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Lawrence Academy        5- 6 3o   -1     3    --    -4.27
   425 A Roxbury Latin          11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   509 H Rivers                  3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.18
   517 A Buckingham, B&N        10- 7       3     6    -     -3.65
   526 H Middlesex               4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H St Sebastian            8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.13
   428 H Brooks School           9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.40
   430 A Moses Brown             8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.52
   502 H Noble & Greenough       9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.51
   421 H St Mark's               9- 1       8     5    +      2.06
   514 H Tabor Academy           5- 4       1    -1    +      2.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.00 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.07 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/