Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-B            
   Nickname = J Purple Roses         Coach  =   Mark Cebulski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5240326    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-11, 70.8)     9- 7   
 414 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (10- 5, 79.9)    12-11  o
 418 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 78.1)     8- 9   
 420 H Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 68.9)    18- 6   
 423 A Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-III (17- 3, 83.7)     8-13   
 426 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (13- 4, 85.3)     4- 6   
 428 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 7- 8, 73.6)    10- 5   
 501 A St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 6- 8, 71.0)    14- 3   
 504 H Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   (11- 7, 76.9)    21-12   
 505 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 8- 7, 74.5)    16- 3   
 507 A Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 8- 8, 77.0)     5-10   
 509 H Paramus Catholic       NJ    Grp-A   ( 3-11, 63.3)    15- 4   
 514 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (13- 4, 85.3)     2-12   
 517 H Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 8, 78.2)     8- 9   
 524 A Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 8, 83.4)    15-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Southern Regional       9- 7       2     7    --    -5.31
   414 H Red Bank Regional      12-11  o    1     0           1.01
   418 A Red Bank Catholic       8- 9      -1     0          -1.06
   420 H Howell                 18- 6      12    10           0.00
   423 A Colt's Neck             8-13      -5    -5           0.56
   426 H Rumson-Fair Haven       4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.37
   428 A Toms River East        10- 5       5     4           0.47
   501 A St John Vianney        14- 3      11     7    +      2.82
   504 H Manasquan              21-12       9     3    ++     6.00
   505 H Monsignor Donovan      16- 3      13     5    ++     4.57
   507 A Toms River South        5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.19
   509 H Paramus Catholic       15- 4      11    16           0.00
   514 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2-12     -10    -7    -     -2.88
   517 H Old Bridge              8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.74
   524 A Morristown Beard       15-19      -4    -5           1.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Toms River South        5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.19
   402 A Southern Regional       9- 7       2     7    --    -5.31
   514 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2-12     -10    -7    -     -2.88
   517 H Old Bridge              8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Manasquan              21-12       9     3    ++     6.00
   505 H Monsignor Donovan      16- 3      13     5    ++     4.57
   426 H Rumson-Fair Haven       4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.37
   501 A St John Vianney        14- 3      11     7    +      2.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.02 Local Power Rank...........    64
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.07 Local SOS Rank.............    73
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   129
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    74
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/