Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Dave Trahan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2820740    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 N Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 92.9)     6-15   
 405 A Glens Falls            NY B  Sec 2   (14- 7, 86.6)     7- 9   
 409 H Queensbury             NY A  Sec 2   (13- 6, 87.3)     6-14   
 411 H LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 82.0)     6- 7   
 413 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 91.2)     7-16   
 417 N Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (14- 6, 90.5)     7-19   
 419 A Troy                   NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 65.8)    16- 0   
 421 A Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   (10-10, 90.4)     9-13   
 424 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 2-17, 66.1)    19- 5   
 428 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9-11, 89.7)     9-19   
 430 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   (10- 8, 88.4)     9-10   
 502 A LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 82.0)     3- 8   
 507 H Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 2-17, 66.1)    16- 4   
 509 A Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (14- 6, 90.5)     8-16   
 511 H Troy                   NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 65.8)    18- 4   
 512 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   (12- 6, 84.1)    14-11   
 514 N Owego Free Academy     NY B  Sec 4   (11- 8, 84.7)     5- 7   
 517 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 86.3)     1-18   
 522 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9-10, 90.7)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 N Columbia                6-15      -9   -13           1.00
   405 A Glens Falls             7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.70
   409 H Queensbury              6-14      -8    -7          -0.20
   411 H LaSalle Institute       6- 7      -1    -2           1.46
   413 H Bethlehem               7-16      -9   -11           1.00
   417 N Christian Bros          7-19     -12   -11           0.00
   419 A Troy                   16- 0      16    13           0.00
   421 A Saratoga Spgs           9-13      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   424 A Amsterdam              19- 5      14    12           0.00
   428 H Shaker                  9-19     -10   -10           0.00
   430 H Colonie                 9-10      -1    -8    +++    7.87
   502 A LaSalle Institute       3- 8      -5    -3          -1.93
   507 H Amsterdam              16- 4      12    13           0.00
   509 A Christian Bros          8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   511 H Troy                   18- 4      14    13           0.00
   512 A South Glens Falls      14-11       3    -5    +++    8.19
   514 N Owego Free Academy      5- 7      -2    -5          n/a  
   517 A Ballston Spa            1-18     -17    -7    -     -2.60
   522 A Shenendehowa            8-11      -3   -11    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Ballston Spa            1-18     -17    -7    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Saratoga Spgs           9-13      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   430 H Colonie                 9-10      -1    -8    +++    7.87
   512 A South Glens Falls      14-11       3    -5    +++    8.19
   522 A Shenendehowa            8-11      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   405 A Glens Falls             7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.70
   509 A Christian Bros          8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   514 N Owego Free Academy      5- 7      -2    -5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.22 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.68 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/