Region = VA    Indep            
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   David Turk            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.3699341    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H New River Valley       VA    Indep   ( 4-12, 83.5)    13- 1   
 317 H Sts Peter & Paul       MD B  MIAA    (13- 6, 93.5)     4- 6   
 321 H E.C. Glass             VA    WesVal  ( 8- 6, 86.5)    12- 2   
 326 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (13- 5, 97.6)     4-11   
 402 A E.C. Glass             VA    WesVal  ( 8- 6, 86.5)     9- 7   
 416 H Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 8- 7, 89.4)    14- 3   
 418 H Patrick Henry          VA    WesVal  ( 9- 6, 90.9)    13- 6   
 421 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 5-10, 86.3)    12- 6   
 424 A New River Valley       VA    Indep   ( 4-12, 83.5)    12- 2   
 427 A Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 8- 7, 89.4)     9- 8   
 501 A Patrick Henry          VA    WesVal  ( 9- 6, 90.9)     9-14   
 510 N Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 1-10, 80.3)    22- 5   
 516 H Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 8- 7, 89.4)    10- 6   
 519 A Broad Run              VA    Dulles  (15- 2, 99.9)     8- 7   
 524 A Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (13- 5, 97.6)     2-13   
 529 A Westfield              VA    Concord (15- 6, 95.4)    11-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H New River Valley       13- 1      12    12           0.00
   317 H Sts Peter & Paul        4- 6      -2     2          n/a  
   321 H E.C. Glass             12- 2      10     9          n/a  
   326 H Western Albemarle       4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.30
   402 A E.C. Glass              9- 7       2     7          n/a  
   416 H Rockbridge County      14- 3      11     6    +      3.46
   418 H Patrick Henry          13- 6       7     4          n/a  
   421 A Monticello             12- 6       6     7          -1.44
   424 A New River Valley       12- 2      10    10           0.00
   427 A Rockbridge County       9- 8       1     4    -     -3.34
   501 A Patrick Henry           9-14      -5     2          n/a  
   510 N Charlottesville        22- 5      17    14           0.00
   516 H Rockbridge County      10- 6       4     6    -     -2.54
   519 A Broad Run               8- 7       1    -6    +++    7.20
   524 A Western Albemarle       2-13     -11    -3    ---   -6.10
   529 A Westfield              11-15      -4    -1          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Patrick Henry           9-14      -5     2    ---        
   524 A Western Albemarle       2-13     -11    -3    ---   -6.10
   317 H Sts Peter & Paul        4- 6      -2     2    --         
   326 H Western Albemarle       4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.30
   402 A E.C. Glass              9- 7       2     7    --         
   427 A Rockbridge County       9- 8       1     4    -     -3.34
   516 H Rockbridge County      10- 6       4     6    -     -2.54
   529 A Westfield              11-15      -4    -1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Broad Run               8- 7       1    -6    +++    7.20
   416 H Rockbridge County      14- 3      11     6    +      3.46
   418 H Patrick Henry          13- 6       7     4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.80 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.42 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/