Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Jay Mauro             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0886230    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 9, 79.6)    11- 4   
 331 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 73.9)    15- 7   
 407 A Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 86.2)    13-15   
 410 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     2-14   
 413 H Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 73.3)    12- 5   
 417 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 61.7)    18- 3   
 418 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 76.5)    10- 3   
 420 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 69.2)    14- 0   
 424 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 78.2)    10- 5   
 426 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.2)    14-13   
 502 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 83.6)     8- 9   
 504 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 80.7)    12- 5   
 507 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 83.0)     6- 7   
 510 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 92.8)     6-11   
 514 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-16, 66.3)    15- 4   
 516 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 93.5)    12-17   
 522 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 83.0)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H William Floyd          11- 4       7     5           1.69
   331 H Bayport-Blue Point     15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   407 A Rocky Point            13-15      -2    -2           0.56
   410 H West Islip              2-14     -12   -14           0.00
   413 H Deer Park              12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   417 A Brentwood              18- 3      15    21           0.00
   418 A Riverhead              10- 3       7     7          -0.12
   420 A Copiague               14- 0      14    14           0.00
   424 A West Babylon           10- 5       5     5          -0.35
   426 A Lindenhurst            14-13       1     0           1.60
   502 H Bay Shore               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.33
   504 H Northport              12- 5       7     4    +      2.77
   507 A Half Hollow Hills East  6- 7      -1     0          -1.60
   510 H Ward Melville           6-11      -5    -7    +      2.85
   514 H North Babylon          15- 4      11    18           0.00
   516 A Smithtown West         12-17      -5    -9    ++     4.89
   522 A Half Hollow Hills East  4-10      -6     0    ---   -6.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Half Hollow Hills East  4-10      -6     0    ---   -6.60
   331 H Bayport-Blue Point     15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   413 H Deer Park              12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   502 H Bay Shore               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Smithtown West         12-17      -5    -9    ++     4.89
   504 H Northport              12- 5       7     4    +      2.77
   510 H Ward Melville           6-11      -5    -7    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.28 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.38 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/