Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.7613831    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.6)    12- 1   
 331 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10-10, 87.7)     4- 3   
 402 A Newark                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 8-11, 77.0)    18- 1   
 410 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.8)     8- 9   
 412 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 94.3)     6- 3   
 414 H Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (18- 2, 93.0)     4- 5   
 420 H Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (16- 4, 90.8)     9-10   
 426 H Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (18- 5, 96.3)     6- 4   
 428 A Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (17- 3, 98.8)     5-10   
 501 A Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 73.9)    16- 2   
 503 A Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (10-11, 78.8)    18- 0   
 505 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (10-10, 92.1)    10- 4   
 507 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10-10, 87.7)     8- 6   
 509 H Midlakes               NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-11, 77.8)    19- 0   
 511 H Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (17- 3, 98.8)     8- 7   
 514 H Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-15, 70.8)    20- 1   
 517 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     3- 8   
 519 A Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (18- 5, 96.3)     4- 8   
 525 H Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 68.6)    24- 1   
 529 N Midlakes               NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-11, 77.8)    18- 1   
 601 N Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (10-11, 78.8)    20- 3   
 605 N East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (18- 3, 94.0)    14- 0   
 607 N Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (19- 4, 99.9)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Williamsville North    12- 1      11     4          n/a  
   331 A Victor                  4- 3       1     7    ---   -6.29
   402 A Newark                 18- 1      17    17           0.00
   410 H Webster Schroeder       8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.29
   412 H Fairport                6- 3       3     2           0.81
   414 H Carthage                4- 5      -1     3          n/a  
   420 H Lafayette               9-10      -1     5          n/a  
   426 H Geneva                  6- 4       2     0           1.72
   428 A Canandaigua             5-10      -5    -3          -1.14
   501 A Palmyra-Macedon        16- 2      14    21           0.00
   503 A Waterloo               18- 0      18    16           0.00
   505 A Amherst                10- 4       6     2          n/a  
   507 H Victor                  8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.88
   509 H Midlakes               19- 0      19    18           0.00
   511 H Canandaigua             8- 7       1    -2    +      3.26
   514 H Mynderse Academy       20- 1      19    25           0.00
   517 N Orchard Park            3- 8      -5    -4          n/a  
   519 A Geneva                  4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.69
   525 H Bath-Haverling         24- 1      23    27           0.00
   529 N Midlakes               18- 1      17    17           0.00
   601 N Waterloo               20- 3      17    16           0.00
   605 N East Aurora            14- 0      14     1          n/a  
   607 N Corning East            5- 7      -2    -4          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Victor                  4- 3       1     7    ---   -6.29
   420 H Lafayette               9-10      -1     5    ---        
   507 H Victor                  8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.88
   414 H Carthage                4- 5      -1     3    --         
   519 A Geneva                  4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   605 N East Aurora            14- 0      14     1    +++        
   324 H Williamsville North    12- 1      11     4    ++         
   410 H Webster Schroeder       8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.29
   505 A Amherst                10- 4       6     2    +          
   511 H Canandaigua             8- 7       1    -2    +      3.26
   607 N Corning East            5- 7      -2    -4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.73 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.41 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.7
/