Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ    Private          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Rodger Colbert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7680969    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 6-10, 74.5)    13- 3   
 405 H Notre Dame-Trenton     NJ    Grp-A   (14- 5, 84.6)     9-11   
 407 A Ridgewood              NJ    Grp-III (17- 5, 91.0)     3- 9   
 409 A North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp-III ( 3-15, 76.7)     9- 5   
 411 A Hun School             NJ    Private (14- 6, 86.9)    11- 6   
 417 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (14- 6, 87.6)     2-10   
 419 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (18- 2, 89.6)     9-12   
 421 A Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   ( 2-12, 78.6)     6- 1   
 423 A Princeton HS           NJ    Grp-II  (10- 6, 85.1)     3- 5   
 425 H Hill School            PA    Indep   ( 7- 7, 88.7)     6- 8   
 428 H Wyoming Seminary       PA    Indep   ( 6- 6, 81.5)    14- 7   
 430 H Hun School             NJ    Private (14- 6, 86.9)     6-11   
 502 A Princeton Day          NJ    Private ( 5-10, 74.9)     6- 2   
 505 H Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (10- 7, 85.3)     6- 8   
 509 A Hopewell Valley        NJ    Grp-I   (10- 8, 84.0)     9- 4   
 512 H Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (17- 5, 92.7)     6-10   
 518 H Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (17- 1, 96.7)     3-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Blair Academy          13- 3      10     6    +      3.00
   405 H Notre Dame-Trenton      9-11      -2    -1          -0.68
   407 A Ridgewood               3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.44
   409 A North Hunterdon         9- 5       4     4          -0.85
   411 A Hun School             11- 6       5    -5    +++   10.37
   417 A Christian Bros          2-10      -8    -6          -1.96
   419 H South Brunswick         9-12      -3    -6    +      3.34
   421 A Mercersburg Academy     6- 1       5     2          n/a  
   423 A Princeton HS            3- 5      -2    -3           1.57
   425 H Hill School             6- 8      -2    -5          n/a  
   428 H Wyoming Seminary       14- 7       7     1          n/a  
   430 H Hun School              6-11      -5    -3          -1.37
   502 A Princeton Day           6- 2       4     6    -     -2.64
   505 H Moorestown              6- 8      -2    -2           0.03
   509 A Hopewell Valley         9- 4       5    -2    +++    7.49
   512 H Hunterdon Central       6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.47
   518 H Lawrenceville           3-13     -10   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Princeton Day           6- 2       4     6    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Hun School             11- 6       5    -5    +++   10.37
   509 A Hopewell Valley         9- 4       5    -2    +++    7.49
   428 H Wyoming Seminary       14- 7       7     1    ++         
   512 H Hunterdon Central       6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.47
   331 A Blair Academy          13- 3      10     6    +      3.00
   407 A Ridgewood               3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.44
   419 H South Brunswick         9-12      -3    -6    +      3.34
   421 A Mercersburg Academy     6- 1       5     2    +          
   425 H Hill School             6- 8      -2    -5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.40 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.27 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   103
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    78
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/